The north London derby between Tottenham and Arsenal is the standout clash on Sunday’s slate of games in the EPL. This fixture usually generates a tremendous atmosphere, but in order to contain COVID-19, this will be played behind closed doors. Arsenal is one point and one place above its hosts and a victory for either side will boost their chances of playing in next season’s Europa League. I’ll be using my vast collection of betting data to highlight some of the best bets from the four EPL games taking place on Sunday. The start times of the games are 7:00 a.m. ET, 9:15 a.m. ET, 11:30 a.m. ET and 2:00 p.m. ET.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Wolves aim to end losing run at home to Everton
Wolves manager Nuno Espirito Santo has used just 17 players in the past 13 EPL matches, which is the fewest of any club since Jan. 11. Considering Wolves has played 53 matches in all competitions this season, it’s perhaps understandable Santo’s side showed signs of fatigue in its past two matches against Arsenal and Sheffield United, both of which ended in losses.
Wolves needs the win to keep alive its hopes of qualifying for the Europa League. The team can still win this season’s Europa League which would see Wolves qualify for the Champions League. Everton is looking to end the season on a high and build on that positive momentum at the start of the next campaign.
This could be a low-scoring game. None of Wolves’ past six EPL matches has seen three or more total goals scored, while under 2.5 total goals has not landed in Everton’s past two road games. Both teams to score has not paid out in the Wolves’ last six and in Everton’s last three games played away from Goodison Park. Goals may be scarce and it’s probably a good time to highlight the fact there has been six goalless draws in the last 28 meetings.
Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (+155)
Can Aston Villa keep alive its slim hopes of survival against Crystal Palace?
If Aston Villa is to be relegated in the coming weeks, then the team is in danger of doing so with a whimper. Two goals in two draws and eight defeats in the past 10 suggest Aston Villa will be relegated. Villa has lost its past three matches without scoring a goal and conceded the first goal in its past four, but the team faces a Crystal Palace side that has gone from winning four successive games to losing its past four - three of which were shutouts. The Eagles did score in both halves in a 3-2 loss to Chelsea in the past match and if Crystal Palace can start this game on the front foot, then it could push Villa closer to the relegation trap door.
There may not be many goals in this contest if recent meetings between the two sides are any indication. Eight of the past nine matches have seen two goals or fewer scored and that includes Palace’s past four visits to Villa Park. Don’t expect both teams to score in this fixture either. BTTS has not happened in Villa’s past three, while it has not occurred in Palace’s past four road games. Three of the past six meetings at Villa Park have finished all square and this could be another stalemate.
Bet: Both teams not to score (+104)
Tottenham hopes to topple neighbors Arsenal in battle for European football
When Arsenal and Tottenham meet, it usually means we will see a few goals scored. It is the third-highest scoring fixture in the history of the Premier League with an average of 2.83 goals scored per match since the teams first met at White Hart Lane in December 1992. This will be the two sides’ 56th EPL meeting, with Arsenal leading the series with 20 wins to Tottenham’s 12 along with 23 draws. The past two meetings have been draws but Tottenham will be encouraged by the fact that the home side has not lost a north London derby in the past 11. Of those 11 contests, both Arsenal and Tottenham have found each other’s net in eight of them.
For Tottenham, Harry Kane is a constant threat against Arsenal. The England captain has scored 10 goals in his past 10 games against the Gunners with five of them coming from the penalty spot. Kane has converted penalties in the past three derbies and Arsenal knows it cannot afford to gift Kane or Tottenham a cheap goal from 12 yards.
Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (-117)
Leicester’s top four hopes hinge on beating Bournemouth
Before lockdown, Leicester looked certain to finish third with a five-point cushion over Chelsea. But the team now travels to Bournemouth in fourth, one point behind Frank Lampard’s side with just four matches left to play. Leicester has only lost one of its past six, but three of those have been draws and those six dropped points have left the Foxes in danger of missing out on a top-four finish that would see the team qualify for next season’s Champions League.
Bournemouth’s point at home to Tottenham on Thursday night might turn out to be a crucial point if the Cherries can somehow claw the way to safety. The gap between the Cherries and the two sides above them — West Ham and Watford — is six points, so this is a must-win game for Bournemouth. Leicester won the first meeting, 3-1, with Jamie Vardy scoring twice. Vardy has put behind him a run of scoring in just one of 14 league and cup games to score three times in his past two. Vardy has scored six goals against Bournemouth but only one of those goals has come at the Vitality Stadium and that was from the penalty spot.
Bet: Over 2.5 total goals
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