We were able to get back onto the winning side of things last week with me going 2-1 on my recommendations. It could have been a perfect 3-0 if not for disastrous play calling by the Chargers in the final seconds of their matchup with the Bills. For the season, my record now sits at 16-19-1. I’ll try to build some positive momentum with three more underdogs to consider in Week 13.
All odds were obtained from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans: Browns +5.5
This should be a fun battle between two teams with 8-3 records. The Titans demolished the Colts on the road in Week 12, making up for a lopsided loss that they suffered at the hands of Indianapolis two weeks prior. The Titans are on an impressive streak in which they have won three of their last four games, defeating the Bears, Ravens and Colts along the way.
The Browns are also on a hot streak after winning three-straight games. However, they didn’t exactly face good teams in the Texans, Eagles and Jaguars. It is worth noting that their three-game winning streak has coincided with the return of star running back Nick Chubb from IR. They are 6-1 in games in which he has played in this season, compared to 2-2 in games that he has missed. With the Titans only posting a 2-5 record against the spread as favorites this season, there is a path to the Browns keeping this game close behind Chubb and Kareem Hunt.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings: Jaguars +10.5
Despite Gardner Minshew being healthy, the Jaguars will stick with Mike Glennon at quarterback for this game. He kept them in last week’s contest against the Browns, throwing for 235 yards and two touchdowns. They once again relied heavily on James Robinson, who had 159 total yards and a touchdown. Over their last five games, he’s received at least 22 carries four times.
The Vikings snatched victory from the jaws of defeat in Week 12. They eked out a one-point win over the Panthers thanks to a touchdown pass from Kirk Cousins to Chad Beebe with under a minute to play. They certainly couldn’t afford to lose that contest considering they fell to the Cowboys the week prior. The Vikings have not performed well as home favorites this season, going just 1-4 there ATS. Given this lofty line, taking a chance on the Jaguars and the points could prove to be profitable.
New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers: Chargers +1
It hasn’t been a pretty ugly season for the Patriots, but they are still in the hunt for a playoff spot with a 5-6 record. They’ve won three of their last four games, including a close one last week against the Cardinals. They have a chance to make up some ground in the AFC East, as well, with all three of their final games coming against their divisional foes. However, playing the next three games all on the road will be a daunting task.
The Chargers only have three wins, all of which came against bad teams in the Bengals, Jaguars and Jets. Even the Jets kept things fairly close, losing by just six points. That doesn’t exactly instill a lot of confidence in the Chargers moving forward, especially with how poorly they have been coached. Still, they have a lot of offensive fire power and are even more dangerous with Austin Ekeler back. Meanwhile, the Patriots will once again have to play without Julian Edelman (knee) and Rex Burkhead (knee). Add in the Patriots going 1-4 on the road and there’s a path to the Chargers winning this game.
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