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Wednesday offers a pretty deep slate of college hoops games. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Be sure to follow along on Twitter, as news changes quickly, and live plays present themselves — @julianedlow.
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Miami +2 (-109) vs. Pittsburgh
The Panthers have now won four in a row, including a win as slight underdogs against Northwestern in which they had no business winning. Pittsburgh is a solid team, but we’ve also seen an incredibly low floor — a 10-point loss to St. Francis as 13-point favorites. Miami began its season with three straight wins, including a comeback from down 20 against Purdue, winning outright as underdogs. Now it’s the Hurricanes’ turn to bounce back, following a four-point loss to Florida Gulf Coast. Miami is the better team and playing at home here. This line has moved a ton since opening with Miami as the favorite, but I’m going the other way and playing the home dog.
TCU +5 (-109) vs. Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is a perfect 6-0 so far this season, but only two games have had point spreads of single digits. The Cowboys do have an impressive victory as underdogs against Marquette, but this may be their next toughest test. The Horned Frogs have been facing much better competition, and I expect that to help out in this game. Five of TCU’s seven games have had a spread of five points or less, and this team is coming off a convincing 18-point win over Texas A&M as slight dogs. Look for that momentum to keep rolling against OK State.
Ohio State +4.5 (-108) vs. Purdue
Ohio State takes its perfect 5-0 record on the road here, and this will be one of its first real tests. The Buckeyes’ only big win is over Notre Dame by five, and it really mattered what number you got — the spread opened -4 and closed -6. I’m going a little bit against my own argument here with Ohio State not playing many big games yet, but when we have seen Purdue against solid competition, its been awful. The Boilermakers have won all the games over small schools they’re supposed to, but haven’t been good against the number. In the two tests they’ve had thus far, Purdue lost to Clemson by 11 as a favorite and Miami by four as a favorite — after going up 20 in the first half. Getting the 4.5 with what I believe to be the better team is too many to pass up on here.
Duke -4 (-112) vs. Norte Dame
After a shaky start, Duke shut it down for the remainder of non-conference play. During the time off, freshman phenom Jalen Johnson suffered a foot injury and will be out indefinitely. This is a rare time I think we’re actually getting a good number on a very public team because of all the negative headlines going against it. The Blue Devils did get smoked at home by Michigan State and Illinois, but those are Final Four caliber teams. Notre Dame isn’t close to that level, but is getting overvalued in the betting market because of a one-point win over Kentucky. Let’s also remember that the Irish blew a massive lead in that one, and also, well, Kentucky just stinks this year at 1-4. This is a great opportunity for Duke to turn its season around when the perception is against them, and Notre Dame isn’t a good enough team to get in the Blue Devils’ way. Is Duke the top-five team many had them ranked as to begin the year? No. But Duke is now undervalued.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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