clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

DraftKings Fantasy Football DFS Trends and Early NFL Predictions for Week 15

Steve Buchanan analyzes three fantasy football player performances from Week 14 and gives his take on if it’ll continue or not in Week 15.

There is nothing better than some overreactions after the dust settles on a football Sunday. All of us armchair quarterbacks go and make our critiques and tell all our friends and family about what we would have done differently.

The great thing for me is, they asked me to do this and YOU’RE sitting here reading it! How about that?

For this piece, each week we’ll take a look at some players that either potentially overachieved or underachieved and what the outlook for them is moving forward — specifically for next week’s game. Are they set up for more success or could someone have simply had a bad week? My job here is to try and figure that out and relay that information to you. Let’s take a look!

Oh, feel free to tell me how wrong I am by getting at me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3M Fantasy Football Millionaire[$1M to 1st]

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
Week 14 Fantasy Total: 33.5 DKFP

One of the highest scoring fantasy performances of the week belonged to Taylor, who ignited for 150 rushing yards on 20 carries and two touchdowns. Mixing in two catches for an additional 15 yards, Taylor dominated the total team touches for the Colts with 44%. That was double what anyone else had, as Nyheim Hines ($5,400) was second on the team at 22%. This massive performance also skyrocketed Taylor’s salary for Week 15, as he is now a season-high $7,200, surpassing his previous of $7K in Week 3 against the Jets (he only scored 13.2 DKFP in that game).

The matchup couldn’t be a better one either. Taylor has a date with the putrid Texans run defense, who just allowed a team to run for over 100 rushing yards for the 10th time this season. David Montgomery went for a ridiculous 113 yards on only 11 carries, thanks to an 80-yard touchdown run in the first quarter. To be fair, his 3.3 YPC the rest of the way was far from impressive but no one is going to cry over his 27.5 DKFP performance.

As for Taylor, it really looks as if the Colts are feeding him the ball with at least 20 carries in two of his last three games. Taylor has at least 90 rushing yards in three straight games and should have no problem reaching that total against a really banged up Texans offense. Even with the massive jump in salary, I would not feel comfortable fading Taylor in cash lineups in Week 15.

Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams
Week 14 Fantasy Total: 24.4 DKFP

We’ve been clamoring for this all season long but it finally looks as if the Rams have given Akers ($6,600) the keys backfield. Over the past two weeks, Akers has carried the ball a combined 50 times for 193 yards and a touchdown. He’s also catching some out of the backfield with three receptions for an additional 45 yards. Meanwhile, Darrell Henderson ($4,400) and Malcolm Brown ($4,000) look as if they’re being phased out, as both are struggling to get on the field. Henderson played 21.7% and 11.1% of the snaps the last two weeks while Brown was at 15.7% and 9.5%. Akers, meanwhile continues to see his numbers increase with 62.7% and 79.4% over the last two weeks.

The game-script is certainly in favor for Akers against the Jets, as the Rams opened as -16.5 favorites, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The Jets had a stretch where they were excellent against the run but have since fallen back to how they were at the beginning of the year, allowing team after team to eclipse 100+ rushing yards. Akers is another player who saw a big bump in salary, going up $1,400 from Week 14 but his role in the offense feels all but solidified (which is a scary thing to say with a Sean McVay team). Nonetheless, Akers should benefit from plenty of opportunities to run the ball, making him an excellent back to consider before crossing the $7K threshold.

Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys
Week 14 Fantasy Total: 4.3 DKFP

You may not have noticed lately because quite frankly, who is paying attention to the Cowboys as of late but Gallup ($3,500) has really stepped up in their offense lately. Since Week 8, Gallup has at least five targets and is averaging 8.1 (!) since then! Despite his poor performance against the Bengals, Gallup has been a target monster as of late and I simply don’t see that slowing down.

Despite the volume, Gallup likely isn’t garnering much attention because his fantasy output hasn’t been Earth shattering. In that span of 8.1 targets, he’s only averaging 10.1 DKFP. A lot of this has to do with him scoring only one touchdown in that span (two on the season) and not exceeding more than 36 receiving yards in four of the six games. With that said, his salary continues to fall and now he’s only $3,500 against the 49ers.

With this volume he’s seeing, he’s totally worth a shot in lineups where salary needs to be saved. Week 15 will see him against CB Jason Verrett in coverage, who has been targeted against 45 times, allowing 31 receptions (69% catch rate) and an average of 10 YPR. Whatever is attracting Andy Dalton ($5,400) to Gallup is beyond me but this is the type of volume I can’t ignore in this range.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire[$1M to 1st]

Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/NH/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL/TN only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See for full terms and conditions.