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NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for Week 14

Kenny Ducey gives you his best player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for NFL Week 14.

It’s Week 14 in the NFL, and it’s once again time to survey each game for value player props. I am heading to Miami to take a pair of overs on talented tight ends, backing Jalen Hurts in his debut and counting on the Texans to lean on their backup running back with David Johnson out. Here are my favorite prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Travis Kelce over 75.5 receiving yards (-112)

Kelce has now gone over this total in four consecutive weeks and is just five yards behind D.K. Metcalf for the most in football. Yes, a tight end is five yards from leading the league in receiving. No player at the position has ever led the league in receiving yards. His quarterback Patrick Mahomes went on the record recently saying that he’d like to see Kelce win Offensive Player of the Year, meaning the targets aren’t about to slow down. The veteran has been targeted 54 times over his aforementioned five-game run, never fewer than eight times. So, why does this number seem like a good deal? Well, the Dolphins haven’t allowed a 60-yard game yet to a tight end. That being said, they haven’t had to guard someone nearly as talented as Kelce, so that number doesn’t throw me off too much. Back Kelce to keep the run going.

Mike Gesicki 39.5 receiving yards (-112)

Sticking in the same game, this is another tight end who has hit the total he has been given at the DraftKings Sportsbook this week in four of his past five games. He’s coming off a monster nine-catch, 88-yard performance in a win over the Bengals. Unlike Miami, the Chiefs have really struggled to contain tight ends, giving up 89 yards and two scores to the position in Week 11, 140 yards in Week 12 and a modest 57 yards on four catches to Noah Fant last week. Gesicki is one of the best receivers that Tua Tagovailoa has, and the rookie is quickly realizing it. I expect a healthy dose of targets in a game that Miami needs to win to stay in the hunt for the playoffs.

Jalen Hurts over 39.5 rushing yards (-112)

With Hurts making his first career start, we have the unique opportunity to pounce on his player props before Vegas has a chance to adjust. The rookie ran for 29 yards on five carries in just a few drives against the Packers, so in theory, he should hit this total with relative ease. It means almost nothing, but if it makes you feel any more confident Hurts hit this total on almost a weekly basis at Oklahoma. He projects as more of a Kyler Murray and less of a Russell Wilson, who runs only when absolutely necessary. With the pocket collapsing all game, I expect Hurts to spend most of his time on the run, which lends itself to plenty of rushing attempts.

Duke Johnson over 3.5 receptions (-106)

With David Johnson on the reserve/COVID-19 list, this backfield belongs solely to the other Johnson, Duke! In his four starts this season, he’s averaged four targets and three catches, and he’s coming off a whopping six catches in last week’s loss to the Colts. In a game in which Johnson should be on the field much more than the 53% of snaps he received last week, against a good secondary, I expect the Texans to play around with was they can get Johnson involved which includes short routes.

Place your NFL Football bets here at the DraftKings Sportsbook NFL page or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.