Week 4 brought the first losing week of the season with me going 1-2 with my underdog picks. Overall, my record stands at 6-5-1. Let’s try to get back on track during Week 5’s limited Sunday slate with three more recommendations to consider. All odds were obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: Bengals +12
The Ravens bounced back from a loss in Week 3 against the Chiefs to dispatch Washington with ease last week, winning 31-17. The game wasn’t even really that close considering Washington scored a touchdown with just over two minutes left in the fourth quarter. It’s no surprise that the Ravens have been among the best teams in the league out of the gate given that they are loaded on both sides of the ball.
There are a lot of big underdogs this weekend with the Bengals being among them. They are off to a 1-2-1 start with their lone win coming last week at home against the Jaguars. Not only do they have a tie, but both of their losses have come by five points or fewer. While I think the Ravens win this game, Joe Burrow is playing well and could be able to keep the Bengals within striking distance when all is said and done.
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: Jaguars +5.5
After starting out 0-4, the Texans decided that it was time for a change. They have moved on from Bill O’Brien, turning the head coaching job over to Romeo Crennel. Did they act quick enough to save their season? They may have, but it won’t help their cause that O’Brien made a few bad trades during his tenure with the team that has weakened their roster, most notably dealing away DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals prior to the start of the season.
The players on the Texans seemed to have had enough of O’Brien, so a fresh start might rejuvenate them this week. I do expect them to win, but that doesn’t mean that the Jaguars can’t make them sweat it out. The Jaguars’ main problem is on defense, but their offense has performed well, scoring at least 25 points in three of four games. The Texans have struggled on the defensive side of the ball, allowing an average of 31.5 points per game. Don’t be surprised if this ends up being a close, high-scoring contest.
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: Giants +9
Simply put, the NFC East has been a disaster this season. No team in the division has more than one win and the Cowboys and Giants enter with a combined record of 1-7. They could easily be a combined 0-8 had the Cowboys not staged a big comeback against the Falcons in Week 2. The Cowboys’ most disappointing loss came last week against the Browns. They tried to mount yet another comeback in the second half, but ultimately lost, 49-38, in another game in which their defense let them down.
The good news with the Cowboys is that their offense is firing on all cylinders. That’s been the opposite case for the Giants, who haven’t scored more than 16 points in a game this season. With that being said, they do have talent on offense despite having lost Saquon Barkley (knee) for the season. The Cowboys have allowed an average of 36.5 points per game, so this is the Giants’ chance to get back on track. While winning outright will be difficult for the Giants, this is a big spread for a game between two divisional foes who are both struggling, so give me the points.
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