clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

MLB Best Bets: Baseball Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for October 17

Steve Buchanan gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s MLB betting card.

League Championship - Atlanta Braves v Los Angeles Dodgers - Game One Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

The winner of the Rays-Astros series will be decided tonight, as amazingly, this series went the distance. Meanwhile, the Braves-Dodgers series has a good chance to end tonight, as the Braves currently sit up in the series 3-2. Despite only two games on the docket, we have some good bets to take advantage of on the DraftKings Sportsbook, so let’s get right into it. As always, feel free to follow me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.

DraftKings users can get in on the action by betting on DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DK Sportsbook app.

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers:

Atlanta Braves Moneyline +128

Walker Buehler is getting too much love in this game and I want to take advantage of that. Yeah, anyone can look at his line from Game 1 and see that he threw five innings allowing just one run on three hits and seven strikeouts. So what is there to hate? Well for starters, that may have been one of the uglier one run performances I’ve seen in awhile. Second, his command being as shaky as it is, will get him in trouble soon. Buehler walked five in that game and this is a Braves team that will take walks. During the regular season they had a 10.1% BB%, which ranked eighth in the league. When men are on base, that’s where Buehler falls apart this season, posting a 4.64 FIP and a .307 wOBA. Coupled that with some poor numbers against righties and I think the Braves take this one down.

Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups here: MLB $150K Pennant Push [$50K to 1st]

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers:

Max Fried Over 4.5 strikeouts +112

Looking at his last game against the Dodgers, Fried struck out nine through six innings so on the surface, this should be an EASY over, right? Actually, I would tend to say no.

There’s a reason this total is as low as it is. Friend isn’t a huge strikeout guy, averaging less than one per inning with his overall 8.04 K/9 during the regular season. His nine in the last time out was the highest of the season, which previously sat at seven. That came against the Rays, who had the highest K% against lefties at 28.1%. The Dodgers, meanwhile had one of the lowest in the league at just 20.7%.

With all this in mind, I still love getting the plus money here. Fried went over this total in seven of his 11 starts and they were against tough teams to strikeout. A few of these teams included the Mets (20.8 K%), Phillies (20.8 K%) and Yankees (22.6 K%), all of whom had some of the lower K% against lefties. While I don’t expect Fried to blow past this total, I do think he has a very good chance of hitting the five needed.

Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Lance McCullers Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Don’t ask me for a winner in this game, I truly can’t make up my mind so I’m staying away.

I do like taking the over on McCullers’ strikeout prop. The Rays are striking out like they’re required to do so to win or something. Through 13 games, they’ve struck out 139 times. Like, that’s absolutely insane. They’re averaging 10.6 per game! McCullers struck out 11 in his first outing against this team, which lasted seven innings. Now the only worry here is that starting pitchers will have the shortest of short leashes if any signs of trouble comes. So the potential for the quick hook is here more than ever. With that said, it’s hard to not like him going over against a team had a 26.4% K%, the second-highest in the league against righties.

Place your bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DK Sportsbook app.

Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups here: MLB $150K Pennant Push [$50K to 1st]

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See for full terms and conditions.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.