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What are the chances the Buccaneers make the playoffs?

We discuss whether or not the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will make the 2024 NFL Playoffs

Baker Mayfield #6 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers huddles with the rest of the offense during the third quarter of an NFL football game against the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium on December 31, 2023 in Tampa, Florida. Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers managed to embarrass themselves in Week 17, and yet they still control their playoff fate. The Bucs could have clinched the NFC South title with a win over the visiting Saints, but instead they lost 23-13 in a game they were never really in.

And yet, the Bucs will clinch the division title if they beat the Panthers this coming weekend in Charlotte. They’re six-point favorites and if they lose to the Panthers, they really don’t deserve a playoff spot. However, given how the NFC has performed, they would have a chance at a playoff berth at 8-9 if a few things fall their way.

Update — The Bucs defeated the Panthers in Week 18 to clinch the NFC South division title and a playoff berth.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers current odds

DraftKings odds: To make the playoffs — Yes , No ; NFC South -250
DVOA playoff odds: TBD
ESPN FPI: 71.7%
NY Times odds: 56%

Upcoming Schedule

Week 18: @ Panthers

The Bucs haven’t been impressive this year, but the Panthers are abysmal. I think the Bucs handle their business and clinch the division title.

Final record prediction: 9-8

Current NFC playoff standings

1. San Francisco 49ers, 12-4 — clinched NFC West
2. Dallas Cowboys, 11-5 — clinched playoff berth
3. Detroit Lions, 11-5 — clinched NFC North
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8-8

5. Philadelphia Eagles, 11-5 — clinched playoff berth
6. Los Angeles Rams, 9-7 — clinched playoff berth
7. Seattle Seahawks, 8-8

8. New Orleans Saints, 8-8
9. Minnesota Vikings, 7-8
10. Green Bay Packers, 7-8
11. Chicago Bears, 7-9
12. Atlanta Falcons, 7-9
13. New York Giants, 5-11 — eliminated
14. Washington Commanders, 4-12 — eliminated
15. Arizona Cardinals, 4-12 — eliminated
16. Carolina Panthers, 2-13 — eliminated

Verdict

The Bucs will claim the NFC South and the No. 4 seed. If the Bucs lose to the Panthers, they could clinch the final wild card berth if the Cardinals beat the Seahawks and the Packers lose to the Bears.