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What are the chances the Colts make the playoffs?

We discuss whether or not the Indianapolis Colts will make the 2024 NFL Playoffs

Alec Pierce #14 celebrates a touchdown with Gardner Minshew #10 of the Indianapolis Colts during the second quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Lucas Oil Stadium on December 31, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana. Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images

The Indianapolis Colts got a big win over the Raiders on Sunday, and head into Week 18 holding the final wild card berth in the AFC. The Colts are 9-7 and are also tied with the Jaguars and Texans atop the AFC South.

The Colts and Texans face off with a playoff berth on the line, regardless of the Jaguars result. If Jacksonville wins in Week 18, they clinch the AFC South and the Houston-Indy winner claims the final wild card berth. If Jacksonville loses, the Houston-Indy winner claims the AFC South title.

Indianapolis Colts current odds

DraftKings odds: To make the playoffs — Yes -130, No +105; AFC South +350
DVOA playoff odds: TBD
ESPN FPI: 51.7%
NY Times odds: 52%

Upcoming Schedule

Week 18: vs. Texans

The Colts are a home favorite, but it’s easy to want to get behind C.J. Stroud and the Texans. An Indy win wouldn’t surprise me, but I suspect they fall short at home in the finale.

Final record prediction: 9-8

Current AFC playoff standings

1. Baltimore Ravens, 13-3 — clinched AFC North and No. 1 seed
2. Miami Dolphins, 11-5 — clinched playoff berth
3. Kansas City Chiefs, 9-6
4. Jacksonville Jaguars, 9-7

5. Cleveland Browns, 11-5 — clinched playoff berth
6. Buffalo Bills, 10-6
7. Indianapolis Colts, 9-7

8. Houston Texans, 9-7
9. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8-7
10. Cincinnati Bengals, 8-7
11. Denver Broncos, 7-8

Verdict

The Colts will come up short in their bid for a playoff berth. However, they’re in a favorable position welcoming the Texans to town to close out the regular season.