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What are the chances the Texans make the playoffs?

We discuss whether or not the Houston Texans will make the 2024 NFL Playoffs

Brevin Jordan #9 of the Houston Texans celebrates a touchdown with teammates during the second quarter against the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium on December 31, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images

The Houston Texans handled their business in Week 17 against the Titans, but they’ll need to win again in Week 18 to secure a playoff berth. They travel to face the Colts with both teams looking up at the Jaguars in the AFC South tiebreaker.

If the Jaguars lose next Sunday against the Titans, the winner of Texans-Colts claims the AFC South. If the Jaguars lose, the winner of the game likely secures a wild card berth.

Houston Texans current odds

DraftKings odds: To make the playoffs — Yes +100, No -225; AFC South +390
DVOA playoff odds: TBD
ESPN FPI: 48.3%
NY Times odds: 48%

Upcoming Schedule

Week 18: @ Colts

The Colts are the home favorite and have a more veteran presence. However, the Texans have C.J. Stroud back in the saddle after he made his return from a concussion. I think the youngster caps off his OROY campaign by securing a road upset and getting his Texans into the playoffs.

Final record prediction: 10-7

Current AFC playoff standings

1. Baltimore Ravens, 13-3 — clinched AFC North and No. 1 seed
2. Miami Dolphins, 11-5 — clinched playoff berth
3. Kansas City Chiefs, 9-6
4. Jacksonville Jaguars, 9-7

5. Cleveland Browns, 11-5 — clinched playoff berth
6. Buffalo Bills, 10-6
7. Indianapolis Colts, 9-7

8. Houston Texans, 9-7
9. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8-7
10. Cincinnati Bengals, 8-7
11. Denver Broncos, 7-8

Verdict

The Texans likely won’t win the division, but they’ll clinch a wild card berth with a road win over the Colts. They hold tiebreakers over the Steelers and Bengals, and so even if they finish in a tie with either of them, they have the edge.