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NFL rookie of the year odds: Who will win offensive ROY in 2023?

Which rookies have the best shot at taking home some hardware this season?

NFL: APR 27 2023 Draft Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

As the 2023 NFL Draft comes to an end and the new rookie class head to their first ever training camps, we take a way-too-early look at our favorite options to win the 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year award. The first round was chock-full of talented picks, including three quarterbacks taken in the first four picks, as well as vaunted wide receivers and running backs.

Will CJ Stroud be able to revive the Texans to earn the award, or will it go to Bryce Young with the Panthers? How about Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving Geno Smith’s passes in Seattle?

Here’s a look at some of the favorites and a few sleepers to keep an eye on.


RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons (+300)
QB Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers (+475)
WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks (+700)
QB CJ Stroud, Houston Texans (+700)

Robinson has perhaps the best chance to make an immediate and individual impact upon starting off in the NFL. He will be sharing snaps with Tyler Allgeier and Cordarrelle Patterson in Atlanta, but his unique skillset and high draft stock should see him getting plenty of looks on the field. With questions remaining about QB Desmond Ridder, the run game should be in heavy use for the Falcons this season.

Bryce Young, the first overall pick, will be throwing to DJ Chark and Adam Thielen, and could put together a OROY-worthy season — he may have an easier job of it than No. 2 pick CJ Stroud, who will be working with a Houston offense undergoing a full overhaul. If Geno Smith can repeat his performance from last season, wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba would skyrocket in OROY odds.


WR Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens (+1800)
RB Tank Bigsby, Jacksonville Jaguars (+3500)
WR Cedric Tillman, Cleveland Browns (+3500)
TE Michael Mayer, Las Vegas Raiders (+4000)

With Lamar Jackson signed with the Ravens and all QB questions left behind, Flowers is nowhere near hitting his ceiling. After excelling in a struggling Boston College offense, we can expect him to flourish at the next level when he is surrounded by other players with similar ability. Cedric Tillman, selected just one pick behind counterpart Jalin Hyatt, could find his niche at the Browns and make an early statement.

Tank Bigsby will be playing behind Travis Etienne in Jacksonville, which may make it difficult to have a breakout season, but the Auburn RB could thrive in a dual-back offense that allows him to get creative. Mayer dropped to the second round, but working with Jimmy Garoppolo in Vegas seems like a perfect fit for the multi-talented tight end, who could quickly become a favorite target.

2023 Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds, Day 3

OROY preseason odds

Player Odds
Player Odds
Bijan Robinson +300
Bryce Young +475
CJ Stroud +700
Jaxon Smith-Njigba +700
Anthony Richardson +900
Jahmyr Gibbs +900
Jordan Addison +1700
Zay Flowers +1800
Hendon Hooker +2000
Zach Charbonnet +2000
Quentin Johnston +2000
Jalin Hyatt +2500
Will Levis +2500
Josh Downs +2500
Tyjae Spears +3000
Dalton Kincaid +3500
Cedric Tillman +3500
Tank Bigsby +3500
Rashee Rice +3500
Devon Achane +3500
Michael Mayer +4000
Tyler Scott +4500
Roschon Johnson +4500
Marvin Mims +5000
Jayden Reed +5000
Trey Palmer +5500
Darnell Washington +6000
Sam LaPorta +7000
Luke Musgrave +7500
Davis Allen +10000
Cameron Latu +10000
Brenton Strange +10000
Blake Whitehart +10000
Andrei Iosivas +10000
Brayden Willis +10000
A.T. Perry +10000
Zack Kuntz +10000
Zach Evans +10000
Will Mallory +10000
Travis Vokolek +10000
Tucker Kraft +10000
Sean Tucker +10000
Luke Schoonmaker +10000
Parker Washington +10000
Kenny McIntosh +10000
Jonathan Mingo +10000
Evan Hull +10000
Jahleel Billingsley +10000
OROY preseason odds