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Should you bet Colts to make the playoffs after beating the Titans in OT?

We discuss whether or not you should bet on the Colts to make the AFC playoffs

Michael Pittman Jr. #11 of the Indianapolis Colts carries the ball past Sean Murphy-Bunting #0 of the Tennessee Titans during the second half at Nissan Stadium on December 03, 2023 in Nashville, Tennessee. Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images

The Indianapolis Colts head into Week 14 with a 7-5 record and in second place in the AFC South. Their season was in doubt following injuries to Anthony Richardson and two to Jonathan Taylor, but they are in contention for a playoff spot. Indy heads into Week 14, sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the AFC playoffs.

Despite sitting in the final playoff spot, they are still favored to make the playoffs installed at -205 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Upcoming Schedule

Week 14: @ Cincinnati Bengals
Week 15: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 16: @ Atlanta Falcons
Week 17: vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Week 18: vs. Houston Texans

The Colts will go on the road to take on the Bengals. Indy is finding ways to win despite their injuries, logging four consecutive wins. The Colts should benefit from Cincy not having Joe Burrow under center, but this may not be an easy game if both Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are healthy, especially with how Jake Browning looked in Week 13.

The Steelers will likely be without Kenny Pickett for this game, and it could come down to how Mitch Trubisky looks under center. The Pittsburgh defense has been forced to step up in games, and they will have to, yet again, whether or not Jonathan Taylor is able to return.

Indianapolis will play its final road game against the Atlanta Falcons. This should be a winnable game and is firmly in the projected window for Taylor’s return. This matchup could be the pendulum that swings their playoff ceiling one way or another. A loss at this point in the season could seal their fates.

The Colts return home in what could be a must-win game. Las Vegas will likely be eliminated from playoff contention at this point but will have upset on the mind. Indianapolis must avoid getting caught in a trap game and not focus too much on a potentially huge Week 18 contest.

With the way the season has gone, it is likely that the playoff picture won’t be sealed until the final day of the regular season. The Colts and Texans are both in contention for a Wild Card spot, but both teams have time to try and catch the Jaguars. This game could very much be win-and-in when we get to it.

Final record prediction: I’m going with 9-8 due to a tricky schedule coming up. Initially, Week 14’s game against the Bengals looked like it was going to be a win, but Jake Browning balled out on Monday Night Football. That game and the Steelers in Week 15 now feel like toss-ups. Indy should be able to beat Atlanta and Las Vegas, but the game against the Texans feels like it will be a loss despite it being at home. If Indy can win one or both games in the next two weeks, it could be the difference between the playoffs and missing.

AFC playoff standings following win over Titans

  1. Miami Dolphins
  2. Baltimore Ravens
  3. Kansas City Chiefs
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars
  5. Pittsburgh Steelers
  6. Cleveland Browns
  7. Indianapolis Colts
  8. Houston Texans
  9. Denver Broncos
  10. Buffalo Bills
  11. Cincinnati Bengals
  12. Los Angeles Chargers
  13. Las Vegas Raiders
  14. New York Jets
  15. Tennessee Titans
  16. New England Patriots

The Jaguars may be without starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence for a few weeks after a sprained ankle in the team’s Week 13 loss. This not only dropped them to No. 4 but also gave the Colts a legitimate shot at winning the division, being one game back. Still, there are a finite number of playoff spots, and the Colts will have to handle business for the rest of the season. They can’t afford to lose more than one or two more games the rest of the season without ample help from other teams.

Verdict

At this point, you should not bet on the Colts to make the playoffs. This could change as soon as Week 14 if they can beat the Bengals and if the Bills, Texans, and Steelers all lose. For now, Jonathan Taylor is sidelined, and the growth from Browning suggests you shouldn’t take Indy to make the playoffs heading into Week 14.