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What are the chances the Vikings make the playoffs?

We discuss whether or not the Minnesota Vikings will make the 2024 NFL Playoffs

Nick Mullens #12 of the Minnesota Vikings is sacked by Ifeatu Melifonwu #6 of the Detroit Lions during the second quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium on December 24, 2023 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

The Minnesota Vikings saw their playoff hopes take a big hit in Week 16 as they lost 30-24 to the Lions. Minnesota entered with a faint shot at the NFC North, but Detroit clinched the division with a win. That leaves the Vikings fighting for a wild card berth, but on the wrong side looking in ahead of Week 16.

The Vikings are in eighth place, but sit a full game back of the Rams and Seahawks for the final two playoff berths. Minnesota leads Seattle by half a game in the conference record tiebreaker while their tiebreaker with LA would come down to common games.

Minnesota Vikings current odds

DraftKings odds: To make the playoffs — Yes +330, No -450
DVOA playoff odds: 32.3%
ESPN FPI: 19.7%
NY Times odds: 27%

Upcoming Schedule

Week 17: vs. Packers
Week 18: @ Lions

The Vikings face a tough schedule, hosting a game Packers squad and then having to travel to face a Detroit team that already beat them on Sunday in Minnesota. One thing to keep in mind is the 49ers could clinch the No. 1 seed in Week 17, which could leave the Lions with little to play for as they would be either the No. 2 or No. 3 seed. Even if the Lions have nothing to play for, I think we see the Vikings split these final two games.

Final record prediction: 8-9

Current NFC playoff standings

1. San Francisco 49ers, 11-3 — clinched NFC West
2. Detroit Lions, 11-4 — clinched NFC North
3. Philadelphia Eagles, 10-4 — clinched playoff berth
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8-7

5. Dallas Cowboys, 10-5 — clinched playoff berth
6. Los Angeles Rams, 8-7
7. Seattle Seahawks, 8-7

8. Minnesota Vikings, 7-8
9. Atlanta Falcons, 7-8
10. New Orleans Saints, 7-8
11. Green Bay Packers, 7-8
12. Chicago Bears, 6-9

Verdict

The Vikings will come up short of the playoffs. They could finish 8-9 and claim a wild card berth if the Seahawks lose out, but I think Seattle splits their final two and claims one of the playoff spots. If the Rams lose out, it would potentially come down to the common games tiebreaker. I think LA beats the Giants to secure the other wild card berth.