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What are the chances the Seahawks make the playoffs?

We discuss whether or not the Seattle Seahawks will make the NFC playoffs.

DK Metcalf and Noah Fant of the Seattle Seahawks celebrates after Metcalf scored a touchdown during the first half in the game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on December 10, 2023 in Santa Clara, California. Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

After beginning the season 6-3, the Seattle Seahawks find themselves in the midst of a four-game losing streak that has their playoff chances in jeopardy. The Seahawks latest miscue was a 28-16 loss to the 49ers in Week 14. The Seahawks have dropped games to division opponents in three of the past four, twice to San Fran, once to Los Angeles. This has made Seattle’s climb to the postseason more difficult, though the Seahawks still have a decent shot at making it in. Let’s look at their chances going into Week 15.

Seattle Seahawks current odds

DraftKings odds: TBD
DVOA playoff odds: TBD
ESPN FPI: 26.2%
NY Times odds: 21%

Upcoming Schedule

Week 15: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Week 16: @ Tennessee Titans
Week 17: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 18: @ Arizona Cardinals

The schedule isn’t too bad for the Seahawks. Obviously the Eagles in Week 15 is a tough matchup, especially when you consider Philly is coming off back-to-back losses to top NFC teams. The Eagles have a lot to prove and could take it out on Seattle. So that game may be a wash.

Looking further ahead, the Titans, Steelers and Cardinals are a pretty soft schedule to end the season. If QB Geno Smith can get healthy and return to action, that would go a long way. But the worst case feels like Seattle finishes 2-2 down the stretch and 3-1 in a perfect world.

Final record prediction: 8-9

Current NFC playoff standings

  1. 49ers, 10-3
  2. Cowboys, 10-3
  3. Lions, 9-4
  4. Buccaneers, 6-7
  5. Eagles, 10-3
  6. Vikings, 7-6
  7. Packers, 6-7
  8. Rams, 6-7
  9. Seahawks, 6-7
  10. Falcons, 6-7
  11. Saints, 6-7
  12. Giants, 5-8
  13. Bears, 5-8

A lot of the final standings depends on the NFC North. The Vikings play the Lions twice and Packers once, plus the Bengals in their final four games. Minnesota could lose all those games. The Packers have a good chance of getting in with wins over the Vikings and Bucs in the final four, their other two games being against the Panthers and Bears. Green Bay didn’t help itself by losing on MNF in Week 14, but still has a decent shot to get in.

The Rams have the tiebreaker over Seattle and play the Commanders, Saints, Giants and 49ers to end the season. So the Rams also have a good shot at going 3-1 to end the season and finishing 9-8, which would greatly hurt Seattle’s playoff hopes. There are also the Bucs, Saints and Falcons all at 6-7. If one of those teams were to go 3-1 and Seattle falters and goes 2-2, the Seahawks aren’t getting in.

Verdict

It appears unlikely but not out of the question. The Seahawks need a lot to happen and blowing some of these games down the stretch will likely hold them out of grabbing that 7-seed in the NFC. Even if the team goes 3-1 and finishes 9-8 on the season, the Seahawks would need a lot of help with three teams ahead of them in the tiebreaker at 6-7 going into Week 15.