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NFL standings, Week 12: Breaking down the AFC South heading toward Week 13

The AFC South is working its way through Week 12. We break down the standings and playoff implications as we move toward Week 13.

Calvin Ridley #0 of the Jacksonville Jaguars reacts after scoring a touchdown during the third quarter against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images

The AFC South played all of its games in the 1 p.m. window of the Week 12 slate, and the Jacksonville Jaguars got a critical road win over the Houston Texans to build on their division lead. There’s six weeks remaining in the season, but we might look back on this game as the difference in the AFC South race.

The Jaguars jumped on top 10-0 in Houston, but the Texans fought back throughout. They took a 14-13 lead midway through the third quarter, but couldn’t stop the Jaguars on the next two drives. They fell behind 24-14 before managing a touchdown with 5:15 left in the game. They had a chance to tie it late, but Matt Ammendola couldn’t connect on a 58-yard attempt in the closing seconds.

The Indianapolis Colts hosted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and held them off with a 27-20 win. It Colts led most of the game, but struggled to put away Tampa Bay. A late strip-sack was the difference in the win, and Indianapolis moved ahead of the Texans thanks to their current head-to-head tiebreaker.

The Jaguars hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Colts thanks to a head-to-head sweep. The Jaguars and Texans split their season series, which means it will come down to the division record tiebreaker next if they end up tied.

The Tennessee Titans are out of the divisional race, trailing the Jaguars by four games with six remaining, but they got a needed win. The Titans beat the Carolina Panthers 17-10 to remain slightly alive in the wild card race.

Below is a rundown of the AFC South division standings, each team’s opponent next week, and their division title odds at DraftKings Sportsbook heading toward Week 13.

2023-24 AFC South standings

AFC South Record Next wk opp Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12
AFC South Record Next wk opp Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12
Jacksonville Jaguars 7-3 @ HOU -155 -190 -145 +125 +145 -105 -125 -185 -500 -475 -225 -250
Houston Texans 6-4 vs. JAX +800 +950 +1300 +1100 +475 +425 +275 +330 +650 +500 +275 +235
Indianapolis Colts 5-5 vs. TB +600 +750 +700 +275 +380 +400 +750 +1200 +2000 +2000 +1300 +1600
Tennessee Titans 3-7 vs. CAR +350 +360 +240 +250 +235 +390 +600 +700 +1300 +2000 +2000 +10000