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Pick against the spread for Colts vs. Bengals in Week 14 of 2023 NFL season

Chinmay Vaidya gives his pick against the spread for Colts vs. Bengals in Week 14.

Cincinnati Bengals v Jacksonville Jaguars
Ja’Marr Chase of the Cincinnati Bengals in action during the first half of a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium on December 04, 2023 in Jacksonville, Florida.
Photo by Courtney Culbreath/Getty Images

The Indianapolis Colts (7-5) head into another pivotal showdown in Week 14 when they face the Cincinnati Bengals (6-6). Both teams are coming off a win in Week 13. The Colts have won four in a row as they suddenly enter the playoff picture, while the Bengals are on the outside looking but can take a big step towards making the postseason with a win Sunday.

Running back Jonathan Taylor is out for Indianapolis, while star quarterback Joe Burrow remains out for the Bengals.

The Colts are 1-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total set at 44. Indianapolis is -108 on the moneyline, while Cincinnati is -112.

Colts vs. Bengals, Week 14: Pick against the spread

After losing three in a row in the middle of the season, the Colts could’ve easily mailed things in. With rookie Anthony Richardson done for the year, it felt like this was a lost campaign. However, Gardner Minshew has led the team to four straight victories, including close wins over the Buccaneers and Titans. While the competition hasn’t exactly been the best, you can only beat the team in front of you and the Colts have done that. This defense has been shredded over the past few weeks and will look to bounce back against the Bengals.

It looked like everything was over for Cincinnati after Burrow left the Thursday night game against the Ravens with a season-ending wrist injury. Jake Browning has improved over his two weeks, leading the team to a win in Jacksonville last Monday. Cincinnati’s defense has played better, and Joe Mixon is providing consistent production on the ground. If Browning can keep up his clean play, the Bengals have the skill players to do serious damage.

The Pick: Bengals +1

Cincinnati gets to return home after an emotional win on Monday with a quarterback who is improving. The Bengals badly need this game to stay alive in the playoffs, and it feels like the Colts have been living on the edge in the last two games. Cincinnati is the best team Indianapolis has faced since losing to the Saints, and this road game will be a challenge.

Minshew has filled in admirably for Richardson, but he’s not putting up wild numbers by any means across this winning streak. He’s completing just 62% of his throws and has three touchdowns to two interceptions. He’s fumbled the ball three times and has been fortunate to lose only one. Minshew is keeping the team in games and making plays but he might make the one or two mistakes Browning won’t. Take the Bengals as the slight home underdog here.