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Pick against the spread for Chiefs vs. Raiders in Week 12 of 2023 NFL season

Henry Palattella gives their pick against the spread for Chiefs vs. Raiders in Week 12.

Running back Isiah Pacheco of the Kansas City Chiefs scores a rushing touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders during the fourth quarter at Allegiant Stadium on January 07, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Getty Images

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) head to Sin City this weekend to take on the Raiders (5-6) in a game that could decide Las Vegas’ postseason fate. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET.

The Chiefs are 8.5-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, while the total is set at 42.5.

Chiefs vs. Raiders, Week 12: Pick against the spread

The Chiefs will be looking to avenge their 21-17 loss to the Eagles last Monday Night in what was a bit of an ugly game from both sides. Patrick Mahomes only managed to throw for 177 yards in the loss. He’s now thrown for less than 200 yards in the Chiefs' last two games, but he did have Marquez Valdes-Scantling drop what would have been a game-winning touchdown pass in the fourth quarter. Isiah Pacheco rushed for 89 yards against the Eagles and could be in for another big game if the Chiefs elect to move away from their passing game early.

The Raiders have turned to rookie quarterback Aiden O’Connell this season to mixed results, as he’s thrown for 946 yards with three touchdowns and six interceptions this season. He’s coming off a start where he went 24-for-41 for 271 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions in a loss to the Dolphins. The Raiders have failed to score 20 points in 10 of their 11 games this season, and have lost 14 of their last 16 matchups against the Chiefs.

The Pick: Chiefs -8.5

I like the Chiefs at this number, but wouldn’t go any higher than -9. As mentioned above, the Chiefs have had the Raiders number as of late and should enter Sunday’s game angry after dropping their Super Bowl rematch to the Eagles. Kansas City’s secondary has some issues, but I can’t see O’Connell making them pay too much.