The weather forecast calls for temps around 40 degrees with 15+ mph winds. We definitely kept that in mind while assembling our top player props for this AFC East matchup in the sections below.
Jets vs. Bills player prop bets
Josh Allen — over 30.5 rush yards (-115)
Allen has gone over 30.5 rushing yards in two of his last three games, topping 40+ yards on those occasions. For what it’s worth, he had 36 rushing yards on six carries against the New York Jets in Week 1 as well. The Jets have a strong defense, but they have allowed the second-most rushing yards (275) to the quarterback position this season. Allen has also scored a rushing touchdown in seven of his last eight games, so taking +145 odds to score an anytime TD looks good at DraftKings Sportsbook too.
Tyler Conklin — over 26.5 receiving yards (-115)
Conklin has been a reasonable security valve for QB Zach Wilson, coming through with six or more catches in each of his last two games. That’s good enough for 66+ receiving yards in both tries, which is more than 2.5x this prop line. Making matters even better, the Bills rank 29th in DVOA for the tight end position and 24th in overall pass DVOA.
Greg Zuerlein — over 1.5 FG made (+130)
This stat shouldn’t surprise anyone, but the Jets have the worst red-zone offense in the NFL while scoring a touchdown in only 22.73% of their trips inside the 20-yard line. To get an idea of how bad that is, consider that the median is about 53%, and the next worst team — the Tennessee Titans — is at 32.14%.
That red-zone ineptitude has given Zuerlein plenty of field goal attempts, and he has made two or more FG tries in five straight games. In fact, he has booted four or more field goals in three of those outings.