All odds come courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Chiefs vs. Broncos odds
Spread: Chiefs -8.5 (-110)
Point total: 44
Moneyline: Chiefs -425, Broncos +340
Our picks, best bets
Pick against the spread: Broncos +8.5
The Chiefs are 4-7-1 against the spread this season and 3-3 when playing on the road. The Broncos are 4-8 versus the spread overall and despite their shortcomings on offense, their defense has managed to keep the final score tight. Denver’s average scoring margin is -3.2 this season and only two of their losses all year have been by more than a touchdown. I like the Broncos’ defense to hold its own once again and keep the final score close.
Over/under: Under 44
With the Broncos' defense able to limit the Chiefs’ offense, to some extent, it should set up for what will be a lower-scoring game between these division rivals. Kansas City will need to blow out Denver for the combined total to hit the over, given the latter’s ineptitude at scoring the ball. The Broncos rank dead last in scoring with an average of 13.8 points per game, which makes the under seem increasingly likely in this one.
Player prop: Travis Kelce anytime TD scorer (-170)
Kelce had by far his worst game of the season in last week’s loss to the Bengals, so you can be sure he’s in for a true get-right game this week. While the Broncos' secondary is formidable, Kelce has been on a tear this season, finding the end zone five times in his last five games. The Chiefs' tight end is the undisputed top target for Patrick Mahomes, and look for him to find his go-to weapon in the end zone.