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Mavericks vs. Suns pick against the spread, over/under for Christmas Day

We go over some of the best betting options for the Christmas Day matchup between the Mavericks and Suns.

Kevin Durant of the Phoenix Suns is guarded by Keegan Murray of the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on December 22, 2023 in Sacramento, California.  Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

The Dallas Mavericks take on the Phoenix Suns on Christmas Day to wrap up the slate at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Both teams enter the game struggling in the month of December. Here we’re going to go over the odds and lines on DraftKings Sportsbook and make some picks.

There are two big injuries, one on each side. Suns SG Bradley Beal is out again and will be evaluated at the beginning of January. Mavericks PG Kyrie Irving is out due to a heel injury. Rookie big Dereck Lively is questionable to play due to an ankle injury.

The Suns enter the game as 4.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 238.5, which is the second-highest total on the X-Mas Day slate.

Mavericks vs. Suns picks

The Suns are one of the worst teams against the spread this season. The Mavericks have been middle-of-the-pack ATS. We know neither team enters this game in any type of quality form. We’ve got two big names who are ruled out. It could just simply come down to who is better on Monday night: Durant or Doncic?

We’ll also want to see if Lively is active or not. Having a 7-footer in the lineup would be big for Dallas considering Nurkic won’t play. The spread appears to be the tougher of the lines for the public to figure out. The money and bets are nearly split in both categories on DraftKings Sportsbook. In fact, the handle is a 50-50 split exactly. When things are this close, and considering how poorly Phoenix has been ATS, we’ll go with the road Mavericks getting 4.5 points.

Pick ATS: Mavericks +4.5

As for the over/under, the public believes that there will be virtually no defense tonight. Most of the handle and bets are on the over to hit. Both teams are pretty frequently hitting the over. The Mavericks’ have been pretty bad on offense the past few games but it could just be a testament to the teams they’ve played (DEN, MIN, LAC). Same goes for the Suns except their schedule has been pretty soft. Because it’s the NBA Christmas Day slate you’d think Doncic and Durant put on shows. The spread is pretty tight and people can’t quite figure out which side to lean toward. In a closer game, we could actually see some defensive possessions down the stretch. If that’s the case, I’d lean on the under given how high this total is. See if some late money and bets start coming in on the under and grab it before the line shifts.

Over/Under Pick: Under 238.5