clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Fantasy Basketball Picks Today: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for January 4

Stan Son gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Thursday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings.

Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

We have a teeny weeny itsy bitsy two-game slate tonight. Zach Collings, Draymond Green and Gary Payton II are out. There are no significant questionable tags. Keep track of all the pertinent updates at DK Live.

As for back-to-backs, MIL is the only team that played last night. DEN and GS play Friday.

DraftKings Sportsbook has MIL -9 on the road over SAS. The total is 247.5. DEN is -3 on the road over GS. The total is 235.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $400K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]


For up-to-the-minute news, analysis, and lineups, download the DK Network app. You also can follow DK Network on Twitter @dknetwork.


Guard

Stud

Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors ($8,000) – Over the last seven games, Murray has put up at least 40 DKFP in six with two over 50. He has exceeded point expectations 50% of the time this season. Lillard, on the other hand, has exceeded point expectations only 30% of the time. He did go for 58.75 DKFP against the Spurs last time, but he’s failed to exceed 40 DKFP in each of the last four games, with two below 30. It’s well within the range of outcomes that Lillard and Murray put up similar scores, with Murray being $1,300 cheaper.

Other Options - Damian Lillard ($9,300), Stephen Curry ($9,000), Brandin Podziemski ($6,100)

Value

MarJon Beauchamp, Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs ($3,500) – Beauchamp likely won’t play more than the low-20s, but he’s cheap and averages 1.29 FP/Min on the season. He’s played 21 minutes in two of the last three games, going for 16.8 and 23.3 DKFP. With the Bucks sitting as nine-point road favorites, there is a slight chance that this game gets out of hand and Beauchamp gets more run. I wouldn’t expect that, but it’s a viable scenario. Value, as of now, is hard to find, so if Beauchamp can get close to 20 DKFP at this salary, and he allows you to fit some of the higher-priced players, then it’s worth it.

Other Options - Tre Jones ($5,100), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($5,000)


Forward

Stud

Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs vs. Milwaukee Bucks ($8,300) – I think it’s going to be difficult to get Giannis on this slate. If you can, those are basically bankable points because he is so freaking consistent and can put up the highest score on the slate. Wembanyama isn’t as consistent and the ceiling is a tad lower, but he has gone for over 60 DKFP six times this season. He averages 1.51 FP/Min compared to 1.67 for Giannis. If both players end in the 50-60 DKFP range, that $3,700 savings would be massive.

Value

Jonathan Kuminga, Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets ($5,300) – Kuminga has really come on as of late. He had shown flashes earlier in the season, but he’s been more consistent. Over the last seven games, he’s gone for at least 20 DKFP in all with four over 30. That’s despite playing over 30 minutes just twice. The usage rate has been in the mid-20 percent range and he’s scored double-figures in each of the last 13 contests. Against the Nuggets four games ago, Kuminga provided 21.75 DKFP in 23 minutes.

Other Options - Andrew Wiggins ($5,200), Christian Braun ($4,200)


Center

Studs

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs ($11,000) – If you can find the value and fit in Giannis, there’s a good chance that he puts up the highest raw score on the slate. I’m not sure it’s the optimal way to go but we shall see. On the season, Giannis has exceeded point expectations 70% of the time. Over the last 17 games, he’s gone over 60 DKFP in all but one with a high of 95.5 DKFP. He has the highest floor/ceiling combo on the slate, as Jokic has shown to be human recently. Giannis put up 61.5 DKFP the last time he faced the Spurs a few weeks ago.

Other Options - Nikola Jokic ($11,600), Brook Lopez ($6,200)

Values

Trayce Jackson-Davis, Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic ($5,700) – Jackson-Davis played sparingly the first two months of the season, but then he shined in 29 minutes off the bench against Boston a few weeks ago and is now a starter. Granted, it’s only been two games in that role, but he’s just been better and more explosive than Kevon Looney ($3,900) that it’s hard to fathom that Steve Kerr will stuff the genie back into the bottle. Including that Boston game, TJD has played seven games and averaged 23.4 minutes, 11.1 points, 8.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.1 blocks. He has played 26, 29 and 24 minutes in the three most recent contests and scored at least 22 DKFP in six of seven with three over 30.

Other Options - Peyton Watson ($4,900)

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $400K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]


The Crown Is Yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate host for games and betting experiences!


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.