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Fantasy Basketball Picks Today: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for December 7

Stan Son gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Thursday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings.

NBA: In Season-Quarterfinals-Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

The semi-finals of the In-Season Tournament is tonight’s slate. My question is this? Since it’s in Las Vegas, and what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas, will these games exist if we are not there to witness them, and will they turn into pumpkins at the stroke of midnight? I just combined a bunch of things there, didn’t I? Anyway, we have two games and the IND/MIL game has a total of 257!!! Tonight’s slate will be like stopping at the roulette table. Sure, you can place your bets on any particular number, but the best choice will be either red or black, as in Tyrese Haliburton ($10,600) or Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,000). Both have similar projections and you can only choose one. That said, maybe you’re short on cash so you need to play at lower limit tables.

As for injuries we need to keep track of, LeBron James ($9.600) is questionable, so there are basically no injury concerns tonight. Keep track of all the pertinent updates at DK Live.

We don’t have to worry about back-to-backs tonight.

DraftKings Sportsbook has MIL as 5-point favorites over IND with the total set at 257. The LAL are 2-point home favorites over NOP with the total set at 231.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $200K Semi-Final Special [$50K to 1st]


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Guard

Stud

Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks ($10,600) – Shareholders of Haliburton are mighty happy, as every well flows with fantasy goodies while the dividend payments are robust on a nightly basis. He is the conductor of THE most potent offense in the league. He’s coming off his first career triple-double and he did that with a 20.2% usage rate! He’s only had a usage rate over 30% five times this season, yet he’s exceeded 60 DKFP four times this season with two of those over 70. Over the last two games, he’s gone for 67 and 73 DKFP, and those games were against BOS and MIA, two of the better defenses in the league. Now he faces a MIL team that is 21st in defensive rating and has boosted the FPPM to point guards by 9.66% this season. In the last meeting between the two teams, Haliburton went for 56.5 DKFP. MIL is 5th in pace while IND is 1st, so there should be plenty of opportunities for those fantasy goodies. If you have a fantasy sweet tooth like me, this game should put a smile on your face from ear to ear.

Other Options - Damian Lillard ($9,000), Brandon Ingram ($8,000), Austin Reaves ($6,000)

Value

Trey Murphy III, New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Lakers ($4,900) – In his season debut, Murphy played 22 minutes and put up 29.25 DKFP. On Monday, the playing time increased to 30 minutes and he went for 23.5 DKFP. Murphy is a career 40% from downtown and he’s going to get a ton of open looks playing alongside Zion Williamson ($8,400), CJ McCollum ($7,700) and Brandon Ingram ($8,000). Murphy is not just a spot-up shooter, though, as he can ferociously attack closeouts and contribute in the defensive categories due to his length and athleticism.

Other Options - Khris Middleton ($5,900), Malik Beasley ($5,700)


Forward

Stud

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers ($11,000) – Giannis literally contributes in every statistical category. At a high level. Over the last four games, he’s gone for at least 60 DKFP in all of them, which includes a triple-double and just missing another by two rebounds. On the season, he’s exceeded 70 DKFP three times, with one of those against the Pacers back in early November. In that contest, he put up 54 points, 12 rebounds and three assists. L.O.L. Now, Damian Lillard ($9,000) didn’t play in that one, so he won’t get the same 47.9% usage rate he saw. That said, he didn’t rack up any defensive stats in the prior contest and it’s conceivable that Lillard could make his job easier on the offensive end. On small slates, raw points matter and the ceiling and environment are just so juicy for this game, but roster construction and available value will be the ultimate deciders.

Other Options - LeBron James ($9,800)

Value

Benedict Mathurin, Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks ($4,700) – If you’re focused on floor then Mathurin isn’t the guy for you because he is so scoring-dependent and he probably won’t play more than 27 minutes. It wouldn’t surprise me if he ends up in the teens for DKFP. At his price, though, there is upside because he garners a high usage rate when he’s on the court. If he gets hot, he could go for over 30 DKFP. He put up 49.25 DKFP the last time these teams met. Granted, he started that game and played 36 minutes.

Other Options - Bruce Brown ($5,800), Herbert Jones ($5,500), Bobby Portis ($5,400) Aaron Nesmith ($4,600)


Center

Studs

Anthony Davis, Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Pelicans ($9,600) – Price per dollar, Davis could be the best play on the slate. The bots love him, and for good reason. He’s exceeded point expectations 70% of the time this season and gone for at least 50 DKFP 14 times with eight of those over 60. The only area where Davis lacks is in the dimes department, but everything else is elite. He’s double-doubled in all but three games this season. Outside of injury or foul trouble, Davis will likely play close to 38 minutes and garner a usage rate in the 30% range.

Other Options - Myles Turner ($7,000), Jonas Valanciunas ($6,600), Brook Lopez ($6,100)

Value

Bobby Portis, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers ($5,400) – I don’t like the value at center and I hate the price of Portis. If going below $6,000, though, he’d be my choice. The ceiling is limited because he doesn’t start and will likely only play in the low 20s. He’s remarkably consistent when he’s on the floor, having scored double-digit DKFP in all but one game this season. He’s put up over 20 DKFP 15 times with four of those over 30 despite not starting any game.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $200K Semi-Final Special [$50K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.