Allow us to take a break from the In-Season Tournament and get back to some run of the mill regular season basketball. ...Featuring the 22 teams that lost too much and didn’t make the In-Season Tournament quarterfinals.
We’ve got 11 games on the docket. Let’s dive in and try and find some values.
C Orlando Robinson, Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors, $5,000
This one doesn’t have to be too complicated. Robinson drew his first start of the season on Saturday for the shorthanded Heat, collecting 16 points, five rebounds and 27.25 DKFP in 29.2 minutes of action. With Bam Adebayo (hip) not even traveling with the team to Toronto, all signs point to Robinson getting another opportunity with the starting five. Like most reserve big men, Robinson has made the most of his limited chances in 2023-24, registering over 30.0 DKFP twice in just six appearances. He’s also averaging a very respectable 1.04 DKFP per minute logged. This is about as much as I’d be willing to pay for the 23-year-old, but for now, he remains viable.
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr., Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz, $5,000
There’s a lot of injury news to sift through when it comes to the Mavericks, yet here are the four you need to be aware of. First and foremost, Kyrie Irving ($9,400; foot) is questionable, possibly sidelining an asset that takes 19.2 field goal attempts per contest and owns a 28.5% usage rate. After that, it’s a matter of decaying wing depth for Dallas, as Tim Hardaway Jr. ($5,600; back) and Grant Williams ($4,800; knee) are questionable, joining Josh Green (elbow) on the injury report. That’s a lot of question marks at one particular positional grouping. It’s probably why Jason Kidd has leaned so hard on Jones Jr. as of late. DJJ has logged at least 30 minutes in three straight games and is averaging 18.3 points and 29.7 DKFP in that same span. If one or both of Hardaway Jr. or Williams sits, Jones Jr. should be a lock in your lineups, especially in a matchup against a Jazz team sitting 23rd in defensive rating (116.7).
C Duop Reath, Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors, $3,200
Unless the Blazers decide to go with an unusually small lineup against the Warriors — possibly starting Jabari Walker ($4,400) at the five — this should be a night where Reath gets the second start of his young career. Heck, he and Walker might start, as Portland will very likely be down both Jerami Grant (concussion) and Deandre Ayton ($7,000; knee), with the latter being listed as doubtful. Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but Reath’s been pretty good in the limited sample we’ve seen him as a back-up big, producing 0.92 DKFP per minute played. With a price tag this close to the bare minimum, Reath should only need to see about 20 minutes to reach at least 5x value, with his ceiling being much higher than that.
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