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Fantasy Basketball Picks Today: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for December 4

Stan Son gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Monday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings.

NBA: Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic Jeremy Reper-USA TODAY Sports

We have a two-game slate tonight. These games will be the In-Season Tournament Quarterfinals, so it’s win or go home! NBA is faaaaaaaaaantastic. Boston will be without Kristaps Porzingis while Indiana could be without Tyrese Haliburton ($10,900) and Obi Toppin ($5,200). Haliburton is the conductor of the Pacers potent offense, so whether he plays or not is huge for the Pacers and this slate. If he’s unable to go, then both Andrew Nembhard ($4,100) and T.J. McConnell ($3,400) become viable. Keep track of all the pertinent updates at DK Live.

We don’t have to worry about back-to-backs tonight.

DraftKings Sportsbook has BOS 6-point road favorites against IND. The total of that game is 242.5. In the Western Conference side of the bracket, SAC is 3.5 home favorites over NOP. That total is 236.5.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Quarter-Final Tip Off [$100K to 1st]


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Guard

Stud

Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics ($10,900) – Haliburton is questionable, so keep track of updates throughout the day, but I think he plays in this one. If so, he has the highest floor/ceiling combo on the slate. He is THE engine of the Pacers offense and, while the Celtics are one of the best defensive teams in the league, they have boosted the FPPM to point guards by 5.96%. Haliburton has gone for over 50 DKFP seven times this season, with five of those over 60 and three over 70! The Pacers are top in offensive pace, so there should be plenty of possessions to rack up fantasy goodies. If the Pacers have any shot of winning, Haliburton will need to be heavily involved.

Other Options - Jaylen Brown ($8,200), Jrue Holiday ($6,900), Derrick White ($6,600)

Value

Sam Hauser, Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers ($4,500) – This one is a little tricky because Hauser usually plays in the 24 minute range and he’s a three-point specialist. The Pacers have allowed the fewest three-point looks per game on the season, by a wide margin. That said, this is a huge pace up spot for the Celtics and Hauser is going to get looks due to playing alongside the other stars. In addition, what the Pacers deny in three-point volume, they more than make up for it in efficiency, as they allow teams to convert at the highest rate. Hauser has put up at least 20 DKFP in the last three games and has accomplished the feat 11 times this season.

Other Options - Malik Monk ($5,700), Bruce Brown ($5,600), Trey Murphy III ($5,100), TJ McConnell ($3,400) only if Haliburton is out


Forward

Stud

Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers ($8,200) – These teams played early in the season and Boston smashed the Pacers, 155-104. Porzingis played in that one while Haliburton was out. Jayson Tatum ($10,100) led the way in that one with 30 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists, but the dynamics early in the season were different. Tatum was the bonafide alpha while the rest of the players were still trying to figure out their roles. Recently, Tatum has come back a bit while Brown in particular has seen the usage rate tick up. Over the last two games, Brown has garnered usage rates of 30% and 35%, which translated to 36 and 51 DKFP. Brown is much cheaper than Tatum and could come close to scoring a similar amount of DKFP. In addition, if spending up, the priority is Haliburton for me.

Other Options - Al Horford ($6,200)

Value

Herbert Jones, New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings ($5,400) – The range of outcomes is extremely wide for Jones because he is a relatively low-usage player who derives much of his value from defensive stats. Over the last five games, he’s gone under 20 DKFP in three of those contests but put up over 30 in the last two. On the season, he’s gone for over 30 DKFP seven times with two of those over 40. He has played 32 and 33 minutes in the last two contests, and minutes are half the battle. Yo, Joe!

Other Options - Bruce Brown ($5,600), Trey Murphy III ($5,100), Sam Hauser ($4,500), Aaron Nesmith ($4,300)


Center

Studs

Al Horford, Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers ($6,200) – Kristaps Porzingis has missed the last three games. In his place, Horford has started and played 33, 29 and 33 minutes. The usage rate wasn’t high, clocking in at 10.2%, 16.7% and 15%. Despite that, he managed to put up 35.25, 46.75 and 38.5 DKFP. Horford drains the open jumper because defenses collapse to the Tatum and Brown and he contributes a little something something in every statistical category. Porzingis is out for this one, the Pacers have been fantasy nirvana for opposing teams and they have boosted the FPPM to centers by 8.81%.

Other Options - Jonas Valanciunas ($6,800)

Value

Trey Lyles, Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans ($4,300) – I don’t like any of the value at center. On a two-game slate, the pickings are slim. So, here we are. Lyles probably won’t play more than 18 minutes, but he does garner a decent usage of around 19% when he’s on the court. In five games this season, he’s scored double-digit DKFP in all with two over 20.

Other Options - Obi Toppin ($5,200) if he plays

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Quarter-Final Tip Off [$100K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.