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Fantasy Football Picks: Lions vs. Cowboys DraftKings NFL DFS Showdown Strategy

Steve gives his top DraftKings NFL Showdown picks for Monday’s NFL game between the Lions and Cowboys.

NFL: Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

Saturday football continues this week but only one game will be played and it should be a doozy. The 11-4 Lions take on the 10-5 Cowboys in Dallas with some major playoff implications on the line. Let’s dive into this game and help build some Showdown lineups.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $1.2M Saturday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st]


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Captain’s Pick

Dak Prescott (CP $15,900)

This is a premier spot for Prescott, at home, against a team that allows a ton of production to opposing quarterbacks. The massive difference in performance by the Cowboys offense at home opposed to one the road cannot be overlooked. In Dallas, this team is averaging 40 points per game, compared to just 21.5 on the road. The Lions don’t generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks either, which clean pockets to work with. In that scenario, he has a 71.5% completion, a 79% adjusted completion rate, 7.4 YPA and 24 of his 30 passing touchdowns. With most of the production likely coming through the air, as the Lions have been stellar against the run, Dak is a no-brainer captain in a game with over 50 point game total.

FLEX Plays

(I think it’s quite obvious that CeeDee Lamb ($11,400) and Amon-Ra St. Brown ($11,000) are the top flex plays in this game. Instead of wasting your time going over them, I’ll write up a few other plays that I really like for this game)

Jake Ferguson ($6,200)

I’m going to make Ferguson a priority when building lineups. His target share has been climbing over the past month, seeing eight targets in four straight games. Over that span, he has a 21/238/1 line while averaging 12.7 DKFP. The cherry on top here is the matchup against the Lions defense, which has allowed over five catches and and 53 receiving yards per game to the position. Ferguson currently leads the league amongst all tight ends with 24 red zone targets, four more than Travis Kelce. At this middling price point, Ferguson feels like a really strong play on a slate that is very top heavy.

Jahmyr Gibbs ($9,200)

The Lions are underdogs in this game, which sets up a positive game script for Gibbs. He gets the targets out of the backfield over David Montgomery ($8,600), who hasn’t seen more than three in a game since Week 5. Gibbs has drawn over five targets per game, making him a very viable option. To take this even further, in the four losses by the Lions this season, Gibbs saw an average of 7.7 targets in those games (not saying the Lions are going to lose but you get the idea about playing from behind). The Cowboys are a tough team against opposing running backs but the volume alone should be there for Gibbs.

Jameson Williams ($3,400)

With so many top options in the high priced tier, you’ll need to save somewhere. No one is more boom-or-bust than Williams at $3,400. We really haven’t seen a huge game from him but he does get those deep down field looks that could easily pay off his $3,400 salary. Williams is tied with St. Brown for the most targets of 20+ yards down field with 11. That’s almost double anyone else on the team this season. Of his three touchdowns, two of them have come on shots of 20+ yards. Without a lot of solid value options, Williams is a value play to consider.


Fades

Tony Pollard ($7,800)

Man, I don’t think anyone would have expected Pollard being priced at $7,800 on a Showdown slate. But, there isn’t much to like about him in this game. The matchup is tough to begin with against a Lions run defense that’s allowed only 884 rushing yards for the entire season. They’re only one of three teams that have allowed under 1000 rushing yards along with the Bears and 49ers. Opposing teams are averaging just 58 rushing yards per game against the Lions. On top of that, Pollard lack of targets over the past two weeks was concerning. In the two losses against the Bills and and Dolphins, Pollard saw just four total targets that he turned into three receptions for 10 yards. Unless he scores, Pollard feels like an easy fade this week.


Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $1.2M Saturday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st]


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups.