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Fantasy Football Picks Today: Top DraftKings NFL DFS Targets, Values for Saturday Week 16

Steve Buchanan gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Saturday’s DraftKings NFL slate.

NFL: Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Saturday football continues in Week 16 and this time, we have a two-game slate. The four teams involved include the Bengals at Steelers and the Bills at Chargers. I’ll break down some of my favorite plays at each position to help you build some DFS lineups.


Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.5M Saturday Special [$500K to 1st] (Sat)



Quarterback

Stud

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers, $8,100 — It’s hard not to back the only starting quarterback on a two-game slate. The rest of the field features two backups and a third stringer. The matchup is a damn good one as well, as the Chargers have all but given up on another lost season. They’ve allowed the sixth most fantasy points (21 DKFP), the second most passing yards (3953) and the seventh most completions (337) to opposing QBs. Now, one could say that there is a big possibility that the Bills could blow out the Chargers and take their foot off the gas pedal. However, we’ve had five games where the Bills won by 20+ points and in those games, Allen is averaging 25 DKFP. Last week was the exception, as in the Bills 31-10 win over the Cowboys resulted in just 16 DKFP for Allen. He only threw the ball 15 times as they ran the ball a ton with James Cook.

Value

Mason Rudolph, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals, $4,800 — I’m not crazy about Rudolph at all. But, he’s under the normal $5K range and has a good matchup in front of him. The Bengals defense isn’t all that daunting, as they’re allowing an average of 19.7 DKFP to opposing QBs. We haven’t seen much of Rudolph at all, as he’s been regulated to third QB duties. You have to go all the way back to 2019 to get a meaningful sample of Rudolph, who had a 62% completion, a 74% adjusted completion, and 6.2 YPA.


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Running Back

Stud

Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers, $6,800 — Ownership is going to gravitate toward Cook after his monster game last week against the Cowboys. The matchup isn’t bad on paper but I’m looking at the player below him that’s $100 cheaper. The Steelers have not been good against the run and have allowed an average of 23.4 DKFP, 4.2 YPC and eight rushing touchdowns. The recent emergence of Chase Brown ($4,900) is slightly concerning, but Mixon continues to take the majoirty of the snaps, even if that means it’s becoming a bit more condensed. Nonetheless, double-digit carries for Mixon is still in the cards in a matchup he should be able to do well in.

Value

Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals, $5,400 – In a game where I’m expecting the Bengals to win, the script sets up for Warren over Harris. In a game where the Steelers lost by 17, Warren saw six targets and made five catches for 28 yards. Warren also carried the ball 10 times and only trailed Harris by two carries. Both Steelers running backs are in this range but I prefer Warren over Harris.


Wide Receiver

Stud

Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers, $6,500 — With Chase out for the Bengals, Higgins should operate as the WR1 on Saturday. I’ve seen some reports that with Chase out, the Steelers could shadow CB Joey Porter Jr on Higgins. From what I’ve been able to research, the Steelers have NOT shadowed a receiver this entire year, so it would be odd to start now. Higgins is also the second-most expensive receiver on the slate and is a $2,200 discount off Stefon Diggs ($8,700) who has been a box score nightmare for over a month. Sure, the matchup is great for Diggs but how many times have we said that lately? I’ll take my chances with Higgins in what should be a target heavy game for him.

Value

George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals, $4,700 – Pickens has received 17 targets of 20+ yards, the most on the team. Unlike Mitch Tribusky, the Steelers will be willing to have Rudolph air the ball down field. In 2019 through 10 games, Rudolph averaged just under 4 attempts per game of 20+ yards. On 17 targets, Pickens has made seven catches for 224 yards and a TD. He’s a boom-or-bust option on Saturday but one that would benefit from playing from behind.


Tight End

Dalton Kincaid, Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers, $5,000 – Kincaid is coming off a zero catch game against the Cowboys last week. He only saw two targets but that also came in a game where Allen threw it 15 times. He should have more chances to succeed this week, as the Chargers have been one of the more generous defenses to opposing tight ends. On the season, they’ve allowed an average of 13.7 DKFP, 63 receiving yards and five total touchdowns to the position.


Defense/Special Teams

Bills D/ST, $3,500 – Easton Stick ($5,500) has not taken good care of the ball in the two games he’s played. He’s already logged six turnover worth plays in two games, which is defined as throws that have a high probability of being intercepted or taking poor care of the ball and fumbling. He’s also been sacked five times over that span. In a game where the Bills are double-digit favorites and should force the Chargers to continue to throw the ball, the probability of turnovers remains high.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.5M Saturday Special [$500K to 1st] (Sat)


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