In lieu of actual analysis, I’ve written a poem that summarizes tonight’s 10-game NBA slate on DraftKings:
Roses are red,
Violets are blue,
No team uses questionable tags like the Lakers do.
Let’s dive into the action on the hardcourt and find some values.
SG/SF Isaac Okoro, Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Utah Jazz, $5,100
Okoro has seen his price tag rise slightly above $5K in recent games, yet he’s still viable in his new role. Along with Dean Wade ($4,800), Okoro moved into the Cavaliers’ starting lineup this past weekend, the corresponding move to the team losing the services of Darius Garland (jaw) and Evan Mobley (knee) for an extended period of time. Okoro has started seven games in 2023-24. He’s scored double-digit points in six of those opportunities and, overall, he’s averaging 25.8 DKFP in the first unit. An output of 5x value seems like the floor for the former lottery pick, while a matchup against the Jazz provides some tantalizing ceiling. Utah comes into Wednesday’s action sporting the Western Conference’s worst defensive rating, allowing 118.1 points per 100 possessions. Woof.
PG/SG Josh Richardson, Miami Heat at Orlando Magic, $5,200
Take this with a tiny grain of salt, as Tyler Herro ($8,800) was not around for this contest, but the last time Jimmy Butler (calf) missed a game, Richardson went off. It was November 28. Richardson started in place of Butler against the Bucks and dropped season-highs in both points (20) and DKFP (35.75). It makes sense, as Butler has carried a 25.8% usage rate so far this season, and his absence creates a pretty large hole in the Heat’s rotation. Richardson is never going to be as aggressive, yet the veteran wing does come into tonight’s contest in a good rhythm, shooting 45.0% (9-for-20) from beyond the arc in Miami’s past four games. Richardson has certainly proven he can make an impact in expanded minutes.
SF Derrick Jones Jr., Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Clippers, $5,000
Tonight’s tilt between the Mavericks and the Clippers is right up at the top of the board for largest implied total. Well, it is if you don’t include the always massive Pacers’ total, which is just a given at this point. In any case, the counting statistics should be flowing freely in the Dallas, which should mean a bounce-back performance for Jones. The veteran wing was held to just six points and 12.25 DKFP in Monday’s lopsided loss to the Nuggets — a script so negative that Jones didn’t step foot on the court in the fourth quarter. That hasn’t been the usual result for Jones the past few weeks, as the forward has managed at least 25.0 DKFP in six of his last nine appearances. Jones, along with Dante Exum ($6,400) and Tim Hardaway Jr. ($6,200), should continue to thrive in the absence of Kyrie Irving (heel).
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.