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Fantasy Basketball Picks Today: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for December 15

Stan Son gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Friday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings.

NBA: Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

We have eight games on tonight’s slate. Jalen Duren and Mitchell Robinson are out while Mark Williams ($6,100) is doubtful. The sky is blue, taxes are always due and Anthony Davis ($10,300) and LeBron James ($9,700) are in the questionable queue. So are Desmond Bane ($9,000) and Zion Williamson ($7,900). Keep track of all the pertinent updates at DK Live.

When Indiana played Milwaukee in the In-Season tournament a week ago, the total for that game was 257.7, which was the highest total since 1991. Tonight’s IND/WAS game has a total of 259!

As for back-to-backs, BOS played last night. ATL, DET, IND, NYK and PHI play tomorrow.

DraftKings Sportsbook has two games with a total of at least 240 - ATL/TOR (241.5) and IND/WAS (259). There is one double-digit favorite - PHI -16 over DET. There is one game within 2 points - TOR -2 over ATL. There are four home dogs - WAS, CHA, SAS and MEM.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]


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Guard

Stud

Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors ($9,900) – Let’s get the bad out of the way. Young can have bad shooting nights, especially since many of his attempts are from way downtown. He’s scored in the 30-DKFP range four times this season. In those contests, he shot 41%, 21%, 40% and 21%. It happens. That said, he dishes out so many dimes and attempts a boatload of free throws that the floor is relatively high. But at close to $10k, we need more than the floor. Trae has gone for over 50 DKFP eight times with four of those over 60 and a high of 76.5. He often plays 38 to 40 minutes a night and garners a usage rate in the 35 to 40% range. This game has a healthy total of 241.5 and the spread is only two points. Trae just faced the Raptors two nights ago and went for 68.5 DKFP. That game was in Toronto and so is tonight’s contest. Why is that important? On the season, while the efficiency has been worse on the road than at home, the usage rate has been 2.7% higher and he has averaged 2.5 more points, 1.6 rebounds and 0.4 assists. Granted, the sample size has been small with 10 vs. 11 road games.

Other Options - Tyrese Haliburton ($11,300), Scottie Barnes ($9,000), Bogdan Bogdanovic ($6,800), OG Anunoby ($6,400), Dennis Schroder ($6,300)

Value

Bilal Coulibaly, Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers ($5,400) – This game has a total of 259! That’s the highest mark since 1991! I want pieces of this game, but, but, but...I’m scared to pay up for the higher-priced options because this game could turn into a blowout, which makes playing time unpredictable. Even in a blowout, I think Bilal gets over 30 minutes, so he seems safe from that perspective. The up-and-down nature should fit perfectly for him, as he thrives in transition. Finally, he’s started to come into his own lately. The usage rate was often in the single digits earlier in the season, but it’s been in the 16 to 20% range lately. He’s gone for at least 20 DKFP in each of the last five games with a high of 32.5. For the season, his high is 42.25, so he’s shown the ability to access a ceiling.

Other Options - Trey Murphy III ($5,500), Derrick Rose ($5,000), T.J. McConnell ($4,900), Malaki Branham ($4,400), Malachi Flynn ($3,500)


Forward

Stud

Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers ($9,100) – Wembanyama was the most hyped prospect due to his combination of height, length, and basketball skill. He’s still only 19 years old, so it was only natural that it would take some time to adjust to the NBA. Well, 23 games in, it looks like he’s pretty comfortable and could be ready to emerge from the ocean like Godzilla and wreak havoc on the fantasy landscape. Over the last eight games, he’s averaged 20.6 points, 13.5 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.9 steals, 3.6 blocks, and 1.3 threes while shooting 45% from the field, 28% from downtown and 80% from the line. That’s translated to six of the eight games with over 50 DKFP, which includes two over 60 and a high of 68.25 against the Lakers two nights ago.

Other Options - Anthony Davis ($10,300), LeBron James ($9,700), Scottie Barnes ($9,000), Jaren Jackson Jr. ($8,500), Bogdan Bogdanovic ($6,800), Keldon Johnson ($6,800), Gordon Hayward ($6,500), OG Anunoby ($6,300), Jabari Smith Jr. ($6,000)

Value

Tari Eason, Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies ($5,200) – We have all been enamored with Eason since his first Summer League, as he showcased his all-around ability and was a per-minute fantasy stud. The playing time was always an issue, though. While he played in all 82 games last season, he only started five and averaged 21.5 minutes. With the free agent acquisitions in the offseason, playing time looked to be challenging once again. Early on, he appeared in 14 games and averaged 19.4 minutes. Over the last two contests, though, he’s received 27 minutes in each and absolutely balled out, going for over 40 DKFP in both games. We probably can’t expect the 30% usage rate and ultra-efficient shooting, but he should get the playing time. If he gets that, anything is possible. Eason averages 1.18 DKFP per minute.

Other Options - Trey Murphy III ($5,500), Bilal Coulibaly ($5,400), Josh Hart ($5,100), Vince Williams Jr. ($4,300)


Center

Studs

Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistons ($11,800) – As of now, I’m probably not going with Embiid tonight, but in a vacuum, he is one of the best plays on the slate. He averages the most fantasy points per minute by a wide margin and has the highest floor/ceiling combo. He has exceeded point expectations 80% of the time and, over the last eight games, he’s gone for over 60 DKFP in all with three over 70. The beautiful thing about Embiid is that he is essentially blowout-proof because he’s the main reason for a blowout. Over this recent eight-game stretch, the 76ers have beaten two opponents by over 40 points. Embiid still put up 61.75 and 68.25 DKFP in those games. It really comes down to roster construction because Embiid is the most expensive player.

Other Options - Anthony Davis ($10,300), Victor Wembanyama ($9,100), Jaren Jackson Jr. ($8,500), Myles Turner ($7,500), Jonas Valanciunas ($7,100)

Values

Nick Richards, Charlotte Hornets vs. New Orleans Pelicans ($5,400) – Mark Williams is doubtful and probably won’t play, which means Richards will make his third start of the season. He hasn’t been overly impressive from a fantasy standpoint during those starts, putting up 26.75, 15, and 25.5 DKFP. He played 40 minutes on Wednesday, though, and averages 0.98 DKFP per minute on the season. Minutes are gold and half the battle. Yo, Joe!

Other Options - Daniel Gafford ($5,600), Isaiah Hartenstein ($5,100), Onyeka Okongwu ($5,000)

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.