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Fantasy Football Picks: Chiefs vs. Packers DraftKings NFL DFS SNF Showdown Strategy

Pearce Dietrich gives his top DraftKings NFL Showdown picks for Sunday Night Football.

Kansas City Chiefs v Las Vegas Raiders Photo by Candice Ward/Getty Images

DraftKings Fantasy Football features a showdown between two playoff contenders in Week 13. The DFS main slate may be in the books, but there is plenty of DFS action available for Sunday Night Football. Check out the NFL Showdown Slate DFS picks for the Week 13 Sunday Night Football matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.2M Sunday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st] (KC vs GB)


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Captain’s Pick

Patrick Mahomes (CP $18,600)

It’s the same old story. Kansas City’s scheme spreads the ball around like a socialist seeking equity. Everyone gets a piece of the pie. It’s awfully generous of Andy Reid. Each offensive weapon gets to put a couple numbers on the box score. They can leave the stadium at the end of the night knowing that they did their part. They made their modest contribution. That’s great for morale and the win column, but it’s terrible for DFS. It’s not entirely terrible. The distributor — the quarterback — is still able to maintain a healthy stat line.

Not that matchups matter for Mahomes, but this one isn’t particularly worrisome. The Packers have a top-10 QB Pressure Rate, but their total amount of sacks is below the league average. Overall, the Packers’ defense has been an above-average unit on paper. The problem is that they’ve faced a fairly soft schedule (29th strength of schedule), and despite the ease of opponents, the Packers have lost more games than they’ve won. This will easily be the toughest game of the season for the Packers. And this will easily be one of Mahomes’ easiest games of the season.

FLEX Plays

Rashee Rice ($8,400)

It’s that time of year. The narrative changes from “what’s up with the Chiefs” to “Kansas City is gearing up for the playoff push.” This season, rookie receiver Rashee Rice is the main focus of the attack. The Chiefs are working out his role so he’ll be ready when they need him in January and February. In Week 12, Rice was the Chiefs’ No. 1 pass catcher. Rice caught eight of 10 targets for 104 yards and a touchdown. Those numbers can easily be replicated. Rice is running short routes close to the line of scrimmage that have a high success rate.

Justin Watson ($5,200)

The Chiefs are thin at receiver. The Kansas City scheme is thin, too. Mahomes spreads the ball around in this offense. Pass-catching volume does not exist with the Chiefs. On NFL Showdown Slates (a time slot where the Chiefs are a regular fixture), it’s boom-or-bust Chiefs. Pick the receiver that hits a big play or the tight end that falls into the end zone. There’s always the third-string RB option, too. Watson fits the big play archetype. He won’t get the desired volume, but he is on the field more than usual. This isn’t the greatest opportunity for WR Justin Watson, but WR Kadarius Toney ($1,600) is questionable after sitting in Week 12 and WR Mecole Hardman is on the IR. Over the last month, Watson has made the most of the situation. He’s scored a TD in Week 11 and Week 12, and he’s run routes on 60% of the snaps in the last three games.

Chiefs DST ($4,600)

It’s all about the blitz. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuola dials up blitzes at one of the highest rates in the NFL (34.4%). Packers QB Jordan Love is not great at handling the blitz. It’s understandable being that this is his first season of full time professional play. On Oct. 29, the Packers lost to the Vikings 24-10. Love was sacked four times. His quarterback rating was 72.1. The Vikings blitz at the highest rate in the NFL (43.1%). The Steelers have a top-5 blitz rate. The Packers lost to Pittsburgh, and Love posted a 71.8 QB Rating. There is a lot of love for Jordan Love at the moment. The sentiment is high after the Packers’ Thanksgiving Day win. The truth is that the Love love is a product of soft matchups. The Chiefs are not soft. They’re tough, and tough love is coming Love’s way on Sunday.


Fades

Jordan Love ($9,600)

Picking two quarterbacks on a DraftKings NFL Showdown Slate is simply too expensive. Fading Patrick Mahomes is too aggressive. Love just doesn’t fit. The fact that Love has not quite established himself as an elite quarterback further disqualifies him as a Sunday night selection. The fact that he hasn’t produced against tough opponents is the nail in the coffin. Love had a big game in front of the eyes of the nation last week. A lot of fans jumped on board, but scoring points on the Lions’ defense is nothing to write home about.


THE OUTCOME

The Chiefs are better than the Packers in every phase of the game. This contest will not be close. Kansas City’s customary midseason hiccup is behind them. This is the moment where Mahomes and his weapons harmonize. Let the sweet music sing out and the fantasy points pile up.

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 38, Green Bay Packers 13

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.2M Sunday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st] (KC vs GB)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.