After a week of football and food, it’s time to run it off with some NBA DFS action on Sunday night. Stop digging into leftovers and start digging into the fantasy basketball research for the seven-game evening slate that starts at 6 p.m. ET.
LaMelo Ball, Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic, $10,300 — In the last nine games, Ball has exceeded 50 fantasy points eight times. The one contest under 50 DKFP was a score of 46.5 DKFP. He’s scored over 65 DKFP three times. Two of those performances were his most recent contests (68 DKFP on Nov. 22 and 65.25 DKFP on Nov. 20). Ball’s 1.44 FPPM (fantasy points per minute) is the third-best on the Sunday slate. His 34.8 MPG ranks in the top 10 for this slate. The Magic and the Hornets both play at an above-average pace. There should be plenty of fantasy points available for Ball on Sunday.
Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies, $9,000 — The 2022-2023 NBA season concluded with Edwards carrying the T-Wolves into the playoffs. Edwards became a superstar. He has picked up where he left off. In 10 of the 15 games this season, Edwards has scored 47.5 DKFP or more. In the last three games, he’s played 39, 36 and 40 minutes and he’s taken at least 20 shots in each contest.
Cole Anthony, Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets, $5,900 — This value pick does not provide extreme savings, but it’s fairly safe. Anthony hasn’t played well, but he’s around a 5x to 6x value pick every night. Anthony’s DFS floor is boosted by his shot volume and his ability to pickup peripheral stats. If his shots fall — a likely scenario in a matchup with the fourth-worst defense in the NBA — then Anthony could be a smash play that returns 7x.
Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks, $10,200 — Don’t look at the stats. They’re not pleasant. The wins are great, but the DFS numbers are disappointing. Tatum does not need to do everything in this loaded lineup. That being said, the Celtics are looking to bounce back from a bad loss to the Magic on Friday. The Hawks present the perfect punching bag for Boston. This game has the highest total on the slate (236.5) because the Hawks play at one of the fastest paces and they don’t play defense.
Mikal Bridges, Brooklynn Nets vs. Chicago Bulls, $8,200 — The Bulls have lost 10 of the last 13 games. This is not a Best Bets article, but teams that lose allow the opposing teams to score plenty of fantasy points. Bridges is on the cusp of a breakout. He scored 69.5 DKFP on 31 shots across 44 minutes on Wednesday. He followed with 42 DKFP and 19 shots across 33 minutes on Saturday.
Miles Bridges, Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic, $7,500 — Since returning from suspension, Bridges has scored 33.25, 32.5, 44.25 and 51 DKFP. He’s started the Hornet’s last two games and he’s averaging 36.5 minutes per game. He will likely go under owned and intentionally overlooked.
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs, $12,800 — His game log is a thing of beauty. There has never been so much green. Every game is a hit. The Joker has returned 5.6x value in nine of the last 11 games, and that’s with a $12,000 price tag. The only blemishes in his log were a foul trouble game and an ejection. There is a slight blowout concern vs. the Spurs, but Jokic has returned value in blowouts during his current run.
Mark Williams, Charlotte Hornets at Orlando Magic, $6,700 — The Hornets took their time developing the 2022 first-round pick out of Duke. The development is over. The limits have been removed. The big man has scored 30 DKFP or more in six of the last 10 games. In the last four games, he’s scored over 37 DKFP three times and played over 30 minutes in each contest.
Goga Bitadze, Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets, $5,200 — For a seven-game slate, there is a remarkably low number of NBA DFS value picks for the center position. The Hornets have a bottom-five defense and play at an above-average pace. Even if Goga only get 20 minutes, he shouldn’t kill DFS lineups.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.