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Pick on the Total for Louisville-Syracuse on February 7

VSiN’s Greg Peterson goes over the best betting options for Wednesday’s college basketball matchup between the Louisville Cardinals and Syracuse Orange.

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NCAA Basketball: N.C. State at Syracuse Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

The Louisville Cardinals have fallen on some tough times in recent seasons and are in search of a big win as they head on the road to face the Syracuse Orange on Wednesday.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Syracuse Orange (-8.5, 156)

Generating offensive production has been both difficult and inconsistent for Louisville this season, ranked 216th nationally in points scored on a per-possession basis while shooting just 30.7% from 3-point range, which ranks 302nd.

This Syracuse defense that Louisville is set to face has been far more stifling at home than on the road, ranking 131st overall in points allowed per possession but surrendering 12.3 points per 100 possessions fewer when at home than in a road or neutral court environment.

The Syracuse defense has had its best success generating turnovers this season, ranking 35th in the country in turnovers forced on a per possession basis on defense and gets to face a Louisville offense that ranks 226th in turnovers committed per possession on offense.

While Louisville ranks 294th in points allowed on a per-possession basis, it still has had a small drop-off in production when playing on the road than most teams, ranking 268th in points allowed per possession and allowing only 0.8 points more per possession on the road than at home.

While this is a golden opportunity for Syracuse to improve its offensive metrics, making shots has been an issue with the team ranking 246th in the nation in points scored on a per-game basis and 293rd in offensive rebound percentage, grabbing just 23.3% of missed shots as offensive rebounds.

With Louisville pulling in only 20.8% of its missed shots in as offensive rebounds in games played on the road, good for 322nd in the nation, there will be fewer scoring opportunities than expected in Wednesday’s ACC showdown.

The Play: Louisville vs. Syracuse Under 156