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Pick on the Spread for Rhode Island-George Washington on February 6

VSiN’s Greg Peterson goes over the best betting options for Tuesday’s college basketball matchup between the Rhode Island Rams and George Washington Revolutionaries.

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NCAA Basketball: Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The George Washington Revolutionaries and Rhode Island Rams have both taken five losses in Atlantic 10 play but will hook up in Washington D.C. on Tuesday looking to start a run.

Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5, 157)

The home and road defensive splits are quite stark for George Washington, who entered the week ranked 99th in the nation in points allowed on a per-possession basis, surrendering 20 points fewer per 100 possessions at home than when playing on the road.

On the other side, Rhode Island has been an inconsistent team on offense, ranking 185th in points scored per possession and have scored 71 points or fewer in six of its past seven games after logging at least 78 points in each of the previous four games leading up to this run.

Much of the Rams’ volatility comes from their inability to protect the ball, ranking 282nd in turnovers committed per possession, which climbs to 327th on the road — scoring 10.1 points per 100 possessions fewer when playing on the road than at home.

To make Rhode Island’s turnover conundrum worse, the team is unable to generate turnovers on defense, ranking 361st out of 362 Division I teams in turnovers forced on a per-possession basis, a big reason for its 319th rank in points allowed on a per-possession basis overall and 360th when playing on the road.

Rhode Island’s inability to generate turnovers will likely allow a George Washington team that ranks 282nd in turnovers per possession committed at home to have much cleaner possessions. Rhode Island ranks 347th in opponents’ road 3-point shop percentage at 39.3%.

On the road, George Washington is just as bad at guarding the 3-point line, ranking 346th in road opponent 3-point shooting percentage but at home, its defense ranks 62nd with its opponents making just 29.7% of their three-pointers.

If Rhode Island keeps this game close, its free throw shooting is of massive concern with the team ranking 358th out of 362 Division I teams with a 62.7% free throw shooting percentage.

With the Revolutionaries shooting 75.1% at the free throw line this season and pairing that with a 16th-ranked defensive blocked shot rate of 10.1% when playing at home, they will defend their home court and win on Tuesday.

The Play: George Washington -5.5