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Pick on the Spread for Marquette-Butler on February 13

VSiN’s Greg Peterson goes over the best betting options for Tuesday’s college basketball matchup between the Marquette Golden Eagles and Butler Bulldogs.

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NCAA Basketball: Butler at Marquette Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Marquette Golden Eagles enter Tuesday’s road tilt against the Butler Bulldogs in sole possession of second place in the Big East standings and looking to avenge the 69-62 loss it took on January 10.

Marquette Golden Eagles (-4.5, 153) vs. Butler Bulldogs

In the first meeting against Butler, Marquette shot just 5-of-32 from 3-point range while Butler was 10-of-22 on 3-point attempts but it will need to duplicate its turnover numbers.

Marquette ranks 11th in the nation in turnovers forced per offensive possession and despite generating 18 turnovers in the first matchup (eight more than Butler), could not overcome the cold shooting night.

While regression from Butler’s 3-point shooting performance in January should set in, Marquette has struggled more on defense when playing on the road than at home. The Golden Eagles rank 41st in the nation in points allowed on a per-possession basis but are giving up 9.1 points more per 100 possessions on the road than at home and allow opponents to shoot 35.1% from 3-point range on the road compared to 32.3% at home.

The turnover issues that Butler had in the first matchup were quite characteristic of this offense as well, averaging 10.5 turnovers per game and ranking 30th in turnovers committed per possession on offense.

The Bulldogs have also been a significantly stronger defense at home this season and although they rank 139th in points allowed per possession, when playing at home, they allow 13.5 points per 100 possessions fewer and rank 85th in this category, specifically in home games.

With Butler’s defense far better at home and Marquette unlikely to replicate the number of turnovers when these teams first met in January, Butler will defend its home floor on Tuesday and pick up a big win for the resume.

The Play: Butler +4.5