Update: Durant, Gordon and Little have all been ruled out. The Suns are still favored, but now by only 2.5 points. The total is 227.5. I’ll roll with Heat +2.5 and under 227.5.
The Miami Heat (20-14) will continue their West Coast road trip when they visit the Phoenix Suns (18-16) Friday evening. The Heat have managed to maintain their position in the standings despite the absence of Jimmy Butler, while the Suns saw their four-game winning streak end at the hands of the Clippers Wednesday. This is the first meeting between these teams this season.
Butler remains out for the Heat, as does Haywood Highsmith. Caleb Martin is doubtful for Miami. Kevin Durant has been upgraded to questionable for the Suns, signaling his potential return. Eric Gordon and Nassir Little are also questionable for Phoenix.
The Suns are 4-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total sitting at 229.5. Phoenix is -170 on the moneyline while Miami is +142.
Heat vs. Suns, 9 p.m. ET
Pick ATS: Heat +4
This pick could change depending on Durant’s status, as the star forward returning would shift things in Phoenix’s favor. The Heat are 8-4 ATS as the road underdog, and have won two out of four games on this road trip. The Suns have not been dominant at home, sporting a 5-11 ATS mark when they are the home favorite. Part of this is the lack of playing time Durant, Bradley Beal and Devin Booker have had together.
The Heat have learned how to play without their key players over the last few seasons. They’ve gone decent stretches without Butler, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro without missing a beat. That remains the case this season. For now, I’ll take Miami as the underdog to cover in this game.
Over/Under: Under 229.5
Even though the Suns trend to the over on the season and are 13-7 at home on overs, they have gone just 2-2 to the over during this current home stand. The Heat have hit the under in four straight games, and five of the last six. Durant’s availability might impact this line but for now, I like the under in this contest.