On the New Year’s resolutions list for both the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and Boston College Eagles is to make the NCAA Tournament this year and both hook up Chestnut Hill on Tuesday looking to improve their 9-3 records.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-2, 150) vs. Boston College Eagles
The little things have played a big role in Boston College’s early season success, ranking 21st in the country in turnovers committed per possession and 33rd in free throw shooting percentage to climb to 60th in points scored per possession this season after ranking 270th in this category last season.
The Eagles face a Wake Forest defense that hasn’t been quite the same on the road as they have been at home, ranking 65th overall in points allowed per possession, but giving up 18.6 points more per 100 possessions in a road or neutral court setting than at home.
Boston College has also done a good job of limiting second chances in home games, allowing opponents to rebound just 19.5% of their missed shots, which is the 29th-best defensive rebound rate in home games in the country while Wake Forest has allowed a lot of second chances when away from Winston Salem.
Opponents are rebounding 37.6% of missed shots in games Wake Forest plays away from home, which is 350th out of the 362 Division I teams with the team having just two players on the roster averaging more than four rebounds per game.
While the return of Gonzaga transfer Efton Reid should help after he missed the first seven games of the season, the lack of rebounding will lead to a mismatch for Eagles top scorer Quentin Post, who is shooting 45.9% from 3-point range at 7-foot-0, averaging 18.3 points, 8.5 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 2.2 steals per game.
The start Boston College has gotten off to is magnified even more by their overall lack of opponents shooting luck with opponents making 34.8% from 3-point range, which ranks 254th nationally, and 77.2% at the free throw line, which ranks 354th.
With Boston College executing the fundamentals at a high level and Post’s advantage on the glass, Boston College will collect a win in their first game of the 2024 calendar year.
The Play: Boston College +2