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Should you be concerned about backing the Dolphins given their track record in the cold?

Miami doesn’t perform well when it comes to playoff games in the cold. With temps in Kansas City expected to be low, does that mean we can’t back the Dolphins this weekend?

Buffalo Bills v Miami Dolphins Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images

The No. 6 Miami Dolphins take on the No. 3 Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Wild Card round. The Chiefs will host the Dolphins in the Wild Card round at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, January 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET, and the Chiefs enter as 4-point home favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Temperatures will drop across America this weekend, so we’re looking at how the Miami Dolphins have fared in cold-weather games in recent years.

NFL Playoffs 2024

Chiefs vs. Dolphins weather forecast

The forecast calls for a high of 10°F on Saturday and a low of -4°F. Temperatures are expected to drop heading into Sunday when the high is 1°F. There is a 9% chance of snow.

How have the Dolphins performed in cold weather in playoffs?

As you may have expected, the Dolphins have not performed well in cold-weather playoff games in the past. Miami is 0-11 in games played when the temperature is under 40°F since 2017, including 0-2 in playoff games under the same time and weather constraints. The last cold weather game they won came on Christmas Eve of 2016, and even then, the temperatures did not dip below freezing.

Does this mean you shouldn’t bet on Dolphins?

While each year’s team is different and can always break the streak, this isn’t a great sign to bet on the Dolphins. It’s hard for a team from Miami to adjust to those bitter temperatures — frankly, it will even be hard for the Chiefs in this type of weather. The Dolphins use the heat in South Florida to their advantage early in the season, but this matchup in this weather should deter you from placing your wagers on the Dolphins in the Wild Card round.

However, the cold weather isn’t the only thing going against the Dolphins. Miami is 1-5 against teams with a winning record this season, and already lost to the Chiefs in November.