The Miami Dolphins will go on the road to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Wild Card round as part of the 2024 NFL Playoffs. The Dolphins are the No. 6 seed in the AFC playoff picture, while the Chiefs are the No. 3 seed. Weather is expected to be a huge factor in this game, with high gusts of wins and and an extremely low wind chill, projected to drop to -14 or colder in the second half.
Let’s take a look at our favorite player prop bets for this Wild Card game, with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Isiah Pacheco, over 15.5 rushing attempts (-130)
The high winds likely mean that passing the ball is going to be tough. These teams are likely to try and keep the ball on the ground for most of the game. It may not be an exciting game plan, but it should help Pacheco hit the over on this line. Kansas City’s starting running back has tallied at least 16 carries in four of his last six games and two of his last three.
Tyreek Hill, under 82.5 receiving yards (-115)
At the time of this writing, they don’t have prop bets up for Raheem Mostert or De’Von Achane’s rushing totals. I think all three running backs will reach double-digit carries, so if one of them is only at 9.5 or fewer, swap that in.
I’m very nervous about receivers in this game. Hill has the ability to turn a short reception into a huge gain, but I don’t think he is able to in this game. The star wide receiver has finished with fewer than 83 receiving yards in three of his last four games and only had 62 earlier in the season against Kansas City.
Rashee Rice, under 6.5 receptions (-145)
Rice has really improved over his rookie season. He played in 16 games and finished with 938 yards and seven touchdowns on 79 receptions. The Chiefs needed to have someone step up to help their passing game, and it was Rice. He hasn’t had more than six receptions in back-to-back games but did in each of the four games prior. Rice was held to two receptions when these teams matched up earlier this season and this weather forecast does not bode well for receivers.