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Who’s improving, who’s falling in Super Bowl 58 odds after Week 1

Week 1 of the NFL season is done. We break down what it all means for Super Bowl 58 odds.

Detroit Lions v Kansas City Chiefs Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

The first week of the 2023 NFL season is wrapping up, and now that we’ve had a chance to watch all 32 teams play, we take a look at how the path to this year’s Super Bowl might play out. While we can’t overreact to Week 1 too much — there are still 17 to go, after all — we did get a sneak peek at what these teams have in store for us throughout the season. Here’s what we learned in Week 1.

Aaron Rodgers update

The Jets QB suffered a lower leg injury on the team’s fourth offensive play of the game. It is believed to be a torn Achilles, but an MRI will determine the severity on Tuesday. The Jets Super Bowl odds dropped from +1800 pre-game to +6000 post-game.

Who had the best Week 1 performance?

The Lions opened the first week of the NFL with a performance that was tough to beat, defeating the reigning Super Bowl champions in a 21-20 victory. While Jared Goff and company may not be circling February 11 on their calendars quite yet, they certainly showed us that things are going to be shaken up this season throughout the league. The 49ers dominated against the Steelers in Week 1 on both sides of the ball. The Browns looked unbeatable on defense, and the Dolphins were unstoppable on offense.

But the best performance of the week has to go to the Green Bay Packers. The post-Rodgers era had a lot of questions being asked, and Jordan Love and the Packers answered them and more in a win over the Bears. While their defense will have more challenging matchups as the season goes on, the Packers made a big impact in Week 1.

Which favorites have work to do?

The Chiefs have a lot of work to do if they want to get back to the Super Bowl in 2024. Patrick Mahomes is still Patrick Mahomes, but the receivers looked less than stellar in the Chiefs’ home opener. To be fair, Travis Kelce was on the sidelines, and things will likely look much improved when he gets back in the game, but one tight end does not a Super Bowl champion make.

The Bengals have arguably the most work cut out for them after Week 1. They scored just three points and did not reach 100 yards either in the air or on the ground. The Cincinnati defense held its own for as long as it could, but without any points on the board, there was only so much to be done. Joe Burrow needs to pull it together, and fast. With such talented receivers on his roster, it would be a shame if this offense went to waste.

Which teams with upset wins could be legit Super Bowl contenders?

The four teams with upset wins in Week 1 that could legitimately be Super Bowl contenders come 2024 are the Lions, Packers, Dolphins, and maybe Rams. I’m hesitant to put the Rams in after the way last season panned out, but they do have several returning roster members from that Super Bowl win two years ago, including Matthew Stafford, who looked very solid on Sunday.

The Lions can’t count their chickens before they hatch, but they have something worth taking a closer look at this season. It won’t be an easy path, but the path is there. The Dolphins may not have the defensive capabilities to reach the Super Bowl, but Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill looked unstoppable as a duo on Sunday. You don’t want to get into a shootout scenario with the Miami offense, because chances are you won’t have the firepower to match it.

And the Packers came out looking phenomenal against the Bears in Week 1. Jordan Love has some excellent receiving options and a strong run game behind him, and the Green Bay defense did better than the 20 points on the board may suggest.

Here’s a full list of Super Bowl 58 odds heading into Week 2, and how they compare with the start of the season. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Super Bowl odds 2023-24

Team Feb 12 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3
Team Feb 12 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3
San Francisco 49ers +750 +1000 +650 +650
Kansas City Chiefs +600 +600 +700 +700
Philadelphia Eagles +900 +650 +700 +750
Dallas Cowboys +1400 +1400 +900 +750
Buffalo Bills +700 +900 +1100 +1000
Miami Dolphins +3000 +2500 +1500 +1300
Baltimore Ravens +2200 +1800 +2000 +1400
Cincinnati Bengals +900 +1100 +1400 +2000
Cleveland Browns +4000 +3500 +1800 +2200
Detroit Lions +3000 +2200 +1700 +2000
Jacksonville Jaguars +2800 +3000 +2500 +2500
Los Angeles Chargers +2200 +2500 +2000 +3000
New Orleans Saints +5000 +3000 +3000 +3000
Atlanta Falcons +7500 +6000 +5000 +4000
Seattle Seahawks +7000 +3000 +6000 +4000
Green Bay Packers +3000 +6500 +5000 +5000
New York Jets +2800 +1600 +6000 +7000
Denver Broncos +3000 +4500 +6500 +7000
Minnesota Vikings +4500 +3500 +6500 +7000
New England Patriots +6000 +6500 +7000 +7000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6000 +10000 +7500 +7000
Los Angeles Rams +3500 +10000 +8000 +7000
New York Giants +4000 +6500 +7000 +7500
Pittsburgh Steelers +5500 +5000 +7500 +5500
Washington Commanders +7000 +6500 +8000 +7500
Las Vegas Raiders +4000 +8000 +10000 +10000
Tennessee Titans +7500 +8000 +10000 +7500
Carolina Panthers +5500 +8000 +10000 +20000
Chicago Bears +8000 +5000 +10000 +15000
Indianapolis Colts +15000 +15000 +15000 +13000
Houston Texans +20000 +20000 +30000 +40000
Arizona Cardinals +20000 +40000 +40000 +40000