We’re getting into the end of the regular season and should see fantasy football players shifting to DFS with the season-long playoffs approaching. If you’re a fantasy manager on the outside of the playoff picture, welcome. If you’re just into NFL DFS and need some running back value plays for the Week 14 main slate, also welcome. Below we’ll get into some value RBs to target for the main slate on Sunday on DraftKings.
NFL DFS Picks, Week 14: RB value plays
Zack Moss, IND vs. CIN, $5,900
Moss still feels super underpriced given what we saw from him earlier in the season. RB Jonathan Taylor recently had surgery and it looks like he’ll miss another game. Last week with JT out, Moss had 19 carries and played a whopping 94% of the offensive snaps (67 total). That backfield and snap share is pretty massive. The Cincinnati Bengals are allowing over 130 rushing yards per game, close to the bottom of the NFL. Moss is going to be mega-chalk but it’s chalk that feels worth it. So long as Taylor is out again.
Jerome Ford, CLE vs. JAX, $5,500
Ford is another lead back that feels super underpriced on this slate. The Jaguars just lost QB Trevor Lawrence to an ankle injury. While that may not matter when choosing a RB in DFS, it does matter for field position. If Jacksonville struggles to move the ball, it should set Ford and the Browns up well on offense. The last time Ford had fewer than double-digit fantasy points on DK was Week 8 vs. the Seahawks. Ford has had strong performances against tough defenses like Pittsburgh and Baltimore in the last five games. The Jags are also in the bottom third of the NFL in yards allowed per game. We also just saw Bengals RB Joe Mixon go for over 100 total yards and two scores against Jacksonville in Week 13.
The Browns are slight 3.5-point favorites at home and should look to control the game through the run game and defense.
Dameon Pierce, HOU vs. NYJ, $5,000
This feels like the right week to get back on Pierce over Devin Singletary. Last week, Pierce and Singletary were closer to a split. Singletary had 31 snaps and Pierce had 26. Pierce out-touched Singletary 15-9 and it feels like the second-year back is close to being 100%. Injuries had held Pierce back, missing Weeks 9-11. We should see Pierce either in a pure split or get more offensive snaps this week vs. the Jets, who are now going back to QB Zach Wilson. That should mean at least a few turnovers. Pierce scored last week so he could get the goal-line work. At $5K, Pierce looks like a strong all-around play with a good ceiling.
The Texans are also 4-point road favorites and the weather is expected to be poor. That should mean more running plays and Houston is 7-5, still very much in position to win the AFC South division 1.0 game behind the Jaguars and tied with the Colts.