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Pick on the Total for Iowa-Purdue on December 4

VSiN’s Greg Peterson goes over the best betting options for Monday’s college basketball matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Purdue Boilermakers

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NCAA Basketball: Maui Invitational - Tennessee Volunteers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Steven Erler-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers began Big Ten play by falling from the ranks of the unbeaten with their loss on Friday to Northwestern and look to rebound on Monday when they host the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers (-13, 165.5)

The tempo in which Purdue is playing at has ramped up significantly from last season as they entered Sunday ranked 75th in the country in total possessions per game, though it is a misleading number due to their loss to Northwestern loss coming in overtime.

Prior to the overtime loss, Purdue was 118th in the country in total possessions per game, which is still a tempo shift from them being 341st in possessions per game a season ago, but a bit less extreme.

Though the amount of points per game Purdue is allowing has increased this season with playing more quickly, the team has actually allowed 5.3 points fewer per possession this season than during the 2022-23 season and are overall 25th in the country this season in points allowed per possession after ranking 51st in this category last season.

The task of the Purdue defense is to lock down an Iowa offense that entered Sunday 12th in the nation in points scored on a per possession basis.

While the Iowa offense is uptempo, with the team 19th in the country in total possessions, they are a far less efficient offense when on the road.

The Hawkeyes this season are scoring 19.6 points fewer per 100 possessions when in a road or neutral court environment compared to at home with the team shooting 39.2% from 3-point range at home compared to 30.4% in games away from home.

The home and road splits for Iowa’s offense this season mirror those from a season ago when the team ranked 351st in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage away from home at 28.1% compared to 38.6% at home, and scored 21.1 more points per 100 possessions at home than away from home.

With the Iowa defense thus far looking far better than during the 2022-23 season, allowing 5.9 points per 100 possessions fewer than a season ago, it will lead to a lower scoring game than expected on Monday.

The Play: Iowa vs. Purdue Under 165.5