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How can the Dolphins clinch the AFC East in Week 17?

We discuss the scenarios that could see the Miami Dolphins clinching a playoff spot in Week 17.

Mike McDaniel, Head Coach of the Miami Dolphins, speaks to Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins on the sideline in the second quarter during the NFL match between Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs at Deutsche Bank Park on November 05, 2023 in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Photo by Alex Grimm/Getty Images

The Miami Dolphins are cruising along and head into Week 17 with a chance to climb into first place atop the AFC playoff standings. They can’t clinch the top seed this weekend, but if they can beat the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, they would move into a first place tie with Baltimore and hold the head-to-head tiebreaker.

The Dolphins currently hold a two-game lead on the Buffalo Bills with two weeks left in the season. Miami is traveling to face Baltimore and is a four-point underdog at DraftKings Sportsbook. If the Dolphins can pull off the upset, they won’t clinch the No. 1 seed but they will clinch the AFC East.

Even if the Dolphins lose, they can clinch the division if the Bills are upset in the same 1 p.m. window. Of course, the Bills are hosting the woeful New England Patriots and are 12 point favorites. It seems unlikely the Bills lose this one, but they did lose 29-25 when they played the Patriots on the road at Gillette Stadium. We’ve seen enough wild results this season that anything is possible on Sunday.

Sunday results: The Dolphins lost an ugly one to the Ravens while the Bills beat the Patriots. The AFC East will be on the line in Week 18 when the Dolphins host the Bills.

Miami Dolphins playoff clinching scenarios - Week 17

Miami clinches AFC East division title with:

  1. MIA win or tie OR
  2. BUF loss or tie