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How can Jaguars clinch a playoff spot in Week 17?

We discuss the scenarios that could see the Jacksonville Jaguars clinching a playoff spot in Week 17.

Calvin Ridley #0 of the Jacksonville Jaguars celebrates with teammates after scoring a touchdown during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on December 24, 2023 in Tampa, Florida. Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost four straight games and are on the verge of an epic collapse in the AFC South. They’ve dropped into a tie with the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans with all three teams sitting at 8-7.

And yet, thanks to critical tiebreakers, they have the edge and control of their fate these final two weeks. They swept the Colts and have a better division record than the Texans.

Sunday results: The Jaguars won, but the Colts and Texans all won as well. Jacksonville can clinch the division in Week 18 with a win over the Titans.

Jacksonville Jaguars playoff clinching scenarios - Week 17

Jacksonville clinches playoff berth and AFC South division title with:

  1. JAX win + IND loss + HOU loss

The Jaguars host the Panthers in Week 17 and are a touchdown favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook. The Panthers have played some solid football the past two weeks. They beat the Falcons 9-7 in Week 15 and then narrowly lost to the Packers on a last-second field goal in Week 16.

The Colts host the Raiders and are a field goal favorite. The Texans host the Titans and are a 3.5-point favorite. If the Texans lose and the Colts win, Houston is eliminated from division contention even if the Jaguars lose. If the Jaguars win and the Colts lose, the Colts are eliminated from division title contention.