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Pick on the Total for Morgan State-Virginia on December 27

VSiN’s Greg Peterson goes over the best betting options for Wednesday’s college basketball matchup between the Morgan State Bears and Virginia Cavaliers.

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NCAA Basketball: Northeastern at Virginia Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

After two full days without college basketball games, action returns on Wednesday with the Virginia Cavaliers playing host to the Morgan State Bears.

Morgan State Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers (-26, 131.5)

Virginia has been successful in slowing teams down, ranking 357th out of 362 Division I teams in possessions per game while Morgan State is 72nd in possessions per game, but the Bears' defense is giving up points at a rate more rapid than their tempo.

Morgan State ranks 356th in points allowed on a per-possession basis and has surrendered at least 77 points in 10 of their 11 games against Division I teams this season

While Virginia ranks only 159th nationally in points scored on a per-possession basis, the Cavaliers are averaging 24.3 points more per 100 possessions at home than on the road or in a neutral court setting and have scored at least 77 points in four of their seven home games this season.

The biggest issue Virginia has had this season is rebounding, ranking 255th in the country in rebound rate, but the Cavaliers get to face a Bears team that is 345th in overall rebound rate and is allowing opponents to rebound 38.1% of their missed shots in road games, which ranks 353rd.

The over-aggression of Morgan State should also allow for more scoring opportunities with the team 291st in fouls committed per possession. Meanwhile, Virginia does not beat itself, ranking 21st in turnovers committed per possession.

With Virginia making 40.2% of their 3-pointers at home and Morgan State allowing teams to make 39.1% of their 3-pointers in games away from home, it will be a high-scoring affair coming off of break for both teams on Wednesday.

The Play: Morgan State vs. Virginia Over 131.5