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Best DFS lineup strategy for 76ers vs. Heat Christmas Day NBA Showdown

We take a look at the Showdown contest on DraftKings for the Christmas Day matchup between the 76ers and Heat, giving you Captain’s Picks and who to fade.

Toronto Raptors v Philadelphia 76ers
Tyrese Maxey of the Philadelphia 76ers reacts during the fourth quarter against the Toronto Raptors at the Wells Fargo Center on December 22, 2023 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images

Two Eastern Conference heavyweights battle on Christmas Day as the Philadelphia 76ers head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. Here’s a look at a potential lineup strategy DFS players can use for Showdown contests featuring this game, with Captain’s picks, flex plays and fades.

Captain’s Picks

Tyrese Maxey ($13,500) - With Joel Embiid sidelined, Maxey is the obvious play for the 76ers. The guard has continued to blossom as he looks to land a massive extension after this season. Maxey is averaging 45.2 DKFP per game and has been great lately. He’s topped 42 DKFP in each of the last four, with two 50+ DKFP efforts. The Heat are slightly better than league average at defending opposing point guards, so this is a good spot to fire up Maxey in a Captain’s spot.

Tyler Herro ($12,600) - The Heat guard has been on fire since his return to the lineup after missing over a month with an ankle injury. Herro is averaging 43 DKFP in the last three games, and could be the lead offensive initiator if Jimmy Butler sits this one out. The guard does enough on the boards and dishing the ball to offset any downturn in scoring, so he’s worth backing in this game.

FLEX Plays

Jaime Jaquez Jr. ($6,400) - The rookie has embodied “Heat Culture” to perfection, although he is a bit inconsistent in fantasy basketball. Jaquez Jr. has topped 32 DKFP in four of the last six games, although the two duds were both under 20 DKFP. The 76ers are in the top 10 when it comes to shutting down opposing forwards, but Embiid being out of the lineup might be more room to operate for Jaquez Jr. in this one. He’s worth firing up as a flex play.

Paul Reed ($4,200) - Reed is likely to get the start in Embiid’s place, although you shouldn’t expect the big man to produce numbers like the reigning MVP. Look for Reed to be more of a complementary option, and keep your expectations in check when it comes to fantasy points. Reed did go for 29.5 DKFP a few games ago, but he’s likely to be in the 18-22 range here. That’s still a solid output at this price point.

Fades

Tobias Harris ($7,000) - It’s easy to get talked into rostering Harris, especially after he went for 57 DKFP against the Raptors. Even with Embiid out, Harris isn’t a surefire bet to score. He has not done well in the three games Embiid missed earlier this season, and he usually hovers in the mid 20s when it comes to fantasy points. That’s not what you’re looking for at this price point.

Kyle Lowry ($5,400) - Lowry has been in a lot of big games over his career and has delivered some big-time showings. However, he’s in a bit of a slump right now and gets a relatively tough matchup with Philadelphia ranking 10th in fantasy points allowed to opposing point guards. Lowry has seen a big reduction in minutes since Herro and Bam Adebayo came back into the lineup, so he’s best left on the bench for this contest.

The Outcome

The NBA certainly didn’t envision this contest turning into a matchup of secondary players, with Embiid already being ruled out and Butler questionable. The Heat have more experience than the 76ers when it comes to playing undermanned, and they should be able to get a win behind their home crowd.

Final score: Heat 106, 76ers 100