clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

NFL DFS Showdown picks, lineup strategy for Saints vs. Rams on Thursday Night Football in Week 16

Chet Gresham takes you through their picks and approach DraftKings Showdown contests for Saints vs. Rams on TNF in Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season.

Kyren Williams #23 of the Los Angeles Rams celebrates his touchdown in front of Matthew Stafford #9 during a 36-19 win over the Cleveland Browns at SoFi Stadium on December 03, 2023 in Inglewood, California. Photo by Harry How/Getty Images

The New Orleans Saints head to Los Angeles on Thursday night to take on the Rams in a meaningful matchup for playoff maneuvering. The Saints are a tiebreaker away from leading the NFC South at 7-7, while the Rams have a tenuous hold on the final wild card spot, also at 7-7. The winner of this game has a good chance of sneaking into the playoffs.

This game has 44.5 total with the Rams as 4-point favorites. The Saints defense has teams wanting to run against them, compared to throw. The Rams have been easier to throw on than run this season. Overall, the Saints defense has played better overall than the Rams, giving up 19.1 points per game to the Rams 22.1.

Injuries to look out for

Chris Olave appears set to return after missing a game due to a an ankle injury.

Tutu Atwell appears ready to return after missing a game due to a concussion.

NFL DFS Showdown strategy: Saints vs. Rams

Captain’s Picks

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams ($16,800)

Williams is the only running back comparable to Christian McCaffrey this season and if he hadn’t missed time with an injury, he’d firmly be the RB2 on the year. His workload is great for fantasy, with 22, 24, 28, and 32 touches in each game since returning from his four game stint on I.R. That kind of workload, plus goal line touches and receptions, make him the best captain’s play on the slate.

Chris Olave, WR, Saints ($12,900)

This is the cheapest Olave has been to roster at DK all season as he returns from an ankle injury. All reports have him playing this week and this is a good matchup. The Rams just gave up 141 yards and a touchdown to Terry McLaurin and have been poor overall against No. 1 receivers, giving up the fifth-most receiving yards to them per game.

FLEX Options

Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams ($10,000)

Stafford has been playing extremely well of late, tossing three touchdowns each against the tough defenses of Cleveland and Baltimore in back-to-back games. The Saints are tough against the pass, but Stafford is playing at a level where you can’t leave him out of your lineups.

Taysom Hill, TE, Saints ($6,600)

Hill missed Week 14 with foot and hand injuries and when he returned in Week 15 he saw his fewest snaps since Week 1. Before his injuries, he was getting a ton of work in his usual Swiss-army knife role, especially around the goal line. I would assume he’s going to see an increase in work this week after apparently being eased back in last week. But, there are plenty of questions about consistency from Hill and I would steer clear of him in cash or single entry GPP tickets for the most part. He’s a player I’d like to have in Showdowns though, as I usually play multiple lineups in tournaments.

Value plays

Tutu Atwell, WR, Rams ($2,800)

Atwell is still a deep threat with a QB who can get him the ball, but he has seen his workload decrease with Demarcus Robinson getting a boost in work over the last month. Atwell has shown enough this season as a big play producer to still be worth his price tag to roster in GPP lineups this Thursday.

Jimmy Graham, TE, Saints ($1,600)

It’s not often you see a player who has scored a touchdown in each of the last three games priced at such a low number, but in Graham’s case it makes sense. Graham has just five targets in the last three matchups and five receptions for 31 yards and three touchdowns. That is unsustainable, but, it also means he has had four red zone targets in that time and we cannot dismiss another real shot at a touchdown against a Rams defense that has given up the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season.