Update, 11:43 p.m. With FSU’s win over Louisville, it appears it will be either FSU, Texas, or Alabama joining Michigan and Washington in the College Football Playoff.
Update: Georgia fell to Alabama, 27-24, in the SEC Championship Game. This marked its first loss of the season and ended its 29-game win streak.
The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs are in a precarious position as they currently trail the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide at halftime of the SEC Championship Game. They will get the ball to start the second half and there is still plenty of time for the two-time defending national champions to come back and preserve their perfect season.
But in the event that the Dawgs do end up losing this evening, that begs the question if they could still make the College Football Playoff with a setback in Atlanta.
Walking this out, there are currently three CFP berths up for grabs with No. 3 Washington effectively clinching a spot with its victory in the Pac-12 Championship Game on Friday. No. 2 Michigan will face Iowa in the Big Ten Championship Game later tonight, while No. 4 Florida State will face Louisville in the ACC Championship Game.
Scenario 1: Michigan and Florida State win
Georgia would be thrown into the mix with fellow one-loss teams in Ohio State, Texas, and Alabama for the final spot. In this scenario, Georgia would most likely be left out by the committee with the Tide owning a head-to-head win over the Dawgs and the Longhorns owning a head-to-head win over the Tide.
Scenario 2: Michigan wins, Florida State loses
FSU is eliminated from CFP contention, leaving two potential berths open. Texas most likely gets the third spot off the strength off a Big 12 title and a head-to-head win over Alabama. The Crimson Tide would probably trump the Bulldogs for the final spot with a head-to-head win in the SEC title game.
Scenario 3: Michigan loses, Florida State wins
FSU would secure its spot while Michigan would get thrown into the mix with all of the other one-loss contenders. Again, Texas would most likely be pulled up while the committee would have to decide between Michigan, UGA, and Bama for the final spot. Again, the Tide would most likely jump the Dawgs on the head-to-head title victory.
Scenario 4: Michigan loses, Florida State loses
The true chaos scenario. FSU would most likely be eliminated while three spots will be up for grabs. Texas and Bama most likely get two of the spots off their strength of 12-1 records and conference title. It would then come down to Michigan and Georgia for the final spot and the Dawgs would most likely get the nod over the Wolverines.