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Mountain West Championship Game Preview: Boise State vs. UNLV

We make a pick for the Mountain West Championship.

New Mexico v Boise State Photo by Loren Orr/Getty Images

The Boise State Broncos take on the UNLV Rebels in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game on Saturday, December 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET and the game will air on Fox. Boise State enters as a 2.5-point favorite with the total set at 59 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Boise State (7-5, 6-2 MWC) No. 49 FPI, No. 44 SP+

The Broncos ended their season on a three-game winning streak to push themselves to the top of the conference standings. With wins over Utah State, New Mexico, and most importantly, Air Force, Boise State will now get another chance to take home the Mountain West title after falling to Fresno State in the conference championship game last season.

This year, Boise State utilized a two-quarterback system. Maddux Madsen and Taylen Green split time. Madsen finished the season with over 1,100 passing yards, nine passing TDs, two rushing TDs, and three interceptions. Green had over 1,500 passing yards, nine passing TDs, seven rushing TDs, and eight INTs. Running back Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards this season and found the end zone 18 times.

The Broncos have not yet faced UNLV this season. They are 6-4-2 ATS and 8-4 to the over.

UNLV (9-3, 6-2 MW) No. 68 FPI, No. 49 SP+

UNLV had the best overall record among Mountain West teams this season, but after defeating Air Force, they fell to San Jose State in their final game of the regular season. In the 37-31 loss, quarterback Jayden Maiava passed for 229 yards and a touchdown, and running back Jai’Den Thomas found the end zone three times, but the Rebels defense struggled against the run.

The Rebels lost their starting QB in Doug Brumfield early in the season, but Maiava quickly made a name for himself and recently earned the conference’s Freshman of the Year award. Wide receiver Ricky White was his top target, adding 1,300 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on the year. RB Thomas finished with 12 TDs.

UNLV is 10-2 ATS this season and 7-5 on agaainst the over.

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Boise State -2.5
Total: 59
Moneyline: Boise State -135, UNLV +114

Weather

Allegiant Stadium is indoors.

Don’t forget before you bet

  • Boise State fired its head coach on November 12 and are 2-0 straight-up and ATS since
  • UNLV was the higher-seeded team and has the better computer ranking

Best bets for Mountain West Championship Game

UNLV +2.5

This has the potential to become a very close game as two high-powered offenses go head to head. Boise State’s two-QB system is tough to defend, while Maiava has emerged as one of the most promising freshmen at his position. Boise State ranks 8th in the nation in rushing yards per game, which UNLV will struggle to defend, but Boise State ranks outside the top 100 in passing yards allowed per game. I’m taking UNLV to keep it close here.