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Big 12 Championship Game Preview: Oklahoma State vs. Texas

We make a pick for the Big XII Championship.

Texas v Iowa State Photo by David K Purdy/Getty Images

The No. 19 Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the No. 7 Texas Longhorns in the Big XII Championship on Saturday, December 2. Texas enters as a 15-point favorite, with the total set at 55.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET and the game will air on ABC.

Here’s everything you need to know and a pick for the game.

Oklahoma State (9-3, 6-2 Big XII) No. 37 FPI, No. 41 SP+

Oklahoma State held on in double overtime against BYU last weekend to secure their spot in the Big XII Championship Game. The Cowboys’ victory against Oklahoma at Bedlam helped to get them in this position, and they have wins over Kansas and Kansas State this season.

The Cowboys are led by quarterback Alan Bowman, who has one of the best weapons in college football at his disposal in running back Ollie Gordon. Gordon has over 1,500 rushing yards and over 200 receiving yards this season, and has found the end zone a whopping 21 times. Gordon had 166 rushing yards and five touchdowns against BYU, which made up for Bowman’s zero-TD, two-INT performance.

The Cowboys have losses to UCF, Iowa State, and South Alabama on their resume this season.

Texas (11-1, 8-1 Big XII) No. 7 FPI, No. 7 SP+

The Longhorns sit atop the Big 12 after their beatdown of Texas Tech in Week 13, and are the heavy favorites to win the conference. Texas has not won a Big 12 championship since 2009, and if they grab a victory here, they have a good chance at getting into the College Football Playoff. Texas’ early-season win over Alabama looks better by the week, but they do have that one loss to Oklahoma on their resume — a singular blemish, but a significant one. They will be competing with several other one-loss teams for a spot in the CFP.

Texas is led by quarterback Quinn Ewers, who had some injury issues this year, but is fully healthy heading into this week. Ewers has a TD-to-INT ratio of 17-to-5. Xavier Worthy and Adonai Mitchell are his top two targets. Texas’ star running back Jonathon Brooks sustained an ACL injury in November that will keep him out for the season, but backup CJ Baxter has filled his shoes, adding 162 rushing yards over the last two games.

Texas allows just 17.3 points per game on average, ranking 11th in the nation, and rank 14th in points per game with an average of 35.1. They have not yet faced the Cowboys this season.

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Texas -15
Total: 55.5
Moneyline: Texas -675, Oklahoma State +490

Weather

AT&T Stadium is indoors.

Don’t forget before you bet

  • Oklahoma State suffered a 42-point loss to UCF in November
  • The under is 6-0 in the last six Big XII Championships
  • Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season

Best bets for Big 12 Championship Game

Oklahoma State +15

The Cowboys have certainly proven that they can play up to an opponent’s level — or down to one — this season. Their Bedlam win is a big factor in this pick, as is the ability to lose by two touchdowns and still cover. Ollie Gordon is a huge weapon that cannot be underestimated, and while I think Texas easily wins this one, I’m taking the Cowboys to cover.