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Timberwolves vs. Heat pick against the spread, over/under for Monday, December 18

We go over some of the best betting options for Monday’s matchup between the Timberwolves and Heat.

Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards of the Minnesota Timberwolves dribbles the ball while Nikola Jovic of the Miami Heat defends in the third quarter at Target Center on October 28, 2023 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Timberwolves defeated the Heat 106-90.
Photo by David Berding/Getty Images

The Minnesota Timberwolves (19-5) have been dominant to start this season, rising to the top of the Western Conference behind the top defense in the league. They’ll hope to keep things going when they visit the Miami Heat (15-11) Monday evening. These teams met earlier this season with Minnesota winning 106-90, but Jimmy Butler did not suit up for the Heat in that game.

Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels are questionable for this game, but the former is expected to play. The Heat are getting a big boost on the injury front, with both Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo listed as available to play. Kyle Lowry is out.

The Timberwolves are 1.5-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total set at 217. Minnesota is -122 on the moneyline while Miami is +102.

Timberwolves vs. Heat, 7:30 p.m. ET

Pick ATS: Heat +1.5

The Timberwolves might have the best record in the West, but they are just 5-7 ATS away from home. They have covered in three of their last four road games. The Heat haven’t been much better at home than they have on the road, going 7-5 straight up at home and 8-6 on the road. Miami is 0-2 ATS as a home underdog this season.

However, Adebayo and Herro coming back should give Miami a big boost. Butler is also in for this game, which he wasn’t the last time around. I like the Heat to win with their two young stars coming back.

Over/Under: Under 217

These teams are dead even on over/unders this year. Minnesota is 12-12 on overs and Miami is 13-13. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league, with the Timberwolves sitting at first in defensive rating and the Heat ranking 13th. Miami’s defensive rating actually tanks at home for some reason, but I think the Heat get a nice boost with Herro and Adebayo returning. I’ll take the under in what should be a defensive matchup.