Saturday afternoon brings us an important game between the Colts and Steelers. Both teams are 7-6, and both have a tenuous hold on a playoff spot. The Steelers are coming off back-to-back losses to two-win teams, against the Cardinals and Patriots, while the Colts had their four-game winning streak snapped last week by the Bengals.
Today, we’ll take a look at some of the value plays available to you in the DraftKings Showdown between the Steelers and Colts.
Injuries to monitor
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts
Taylor is likely to miss this week, giving Zack Moss another start. Moss has had a lot of opportunities over the last two games, but has come up short. Unfortunately, his DK price remains high in this one, but there’s no doubt he’ll get work.
Value flex options
Pat Freiermuth, TE, Steelers ($5,600)
Freiermuth’s price on DK has dropped after two duds following his huge Week 12 game against the Bengals. The good news is that Mitch Trubisky targeted him seven times last week, but he unfortunately only caught three for 18 yards. He should remain a top target this week and his price isn’t too bad.
Alec Pierce, WR, Colts ($4,000)
Pierce continues to play over 90% of the snaps, but his targets are consistently low. The good news is that we finally got a big game from him two weeks ago when he topped 100 yards and a touchdown on three receptions. We now at least have something to reach for. He’s going to be a boom or bust player, but we are often looking for some boom in Showdowns at a good price.
Will Mallory, TE, Colts ($1,600)
Really, any of the Colts tight ends have a shot at Showdown relevance, as the Colts spread out their snaps quite a bit, but, Mallory has been leading the tight ends in targets of late and is extremely cheap to roster. The Steelers have also been burnt by tight ends with so many injuries at linebacker. See Trey McBride and Hunter Henry.
D/ST and Kickers
The Colts D/ST ranks ninth-best in fantasy scoring, while the Steelers rank 12th-best. That was a bit surprising, but as the Colts have scored five D/ST touchdowns this season, it shouldn’t be. They’ve given up 29 or more points six times this season, while the Steelers have done that twice. Both Mitch Trubisky and Gardner Minshew are adept at turning the ball over, so there is upside for both D/STs this week.
Matt Gay has been solid this season, that is until last week. He missed an extra point and a short field goal after having missed only one kick under 50 yards. Chris Boswell has been solid as well, but hasn’t had as many opportunities, as he’s tied to a bad offense. The good news is that they’ll be playing in a dome and the Colts have allowed the third-most fantasy points to kickers this season. Both are viable plays.
Overall Showdown strategy
The Colts run defense ranks 26th in DVOA and 30th in fantasy points allowed to running backs. That puts both Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren into play as the Steelers will hope to run the ball and shut down or at least, cause turnovers against Gardner Minshew.
The Steelers defense has above average statistics overall, but they have plenty of weaknesses and injuries have made them even more vulnerable on defense. Don’t be afraid to play the Colts offensive playmakers this week.